- North Carolina is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Minnesota
- North Carolina vs. Minnesota Total(Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The North Carolina Tar Heels 0-0 visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers 0-0 on Aug. 29 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The North Carolina vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | -1.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | -125 |
| Minnesota | +1.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | +105 |
North Carolina vs Minnesota Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 56.9% confidence.
North Carolina vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Minnesota, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 15% ROI)
Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina Player Prop Bets Today
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nate McCollum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Gavin Blackwell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kobe Paysour has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Nubin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Darius Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina was 6-7 against the spread last college football season (-1.75 Units / -12.24% ROI).
- North Carolina was 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.65 Units / -40.06% ROI
- North Carolina was 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI
- North Carolina was 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 4-9 against the spread this college football season (-6 Units / -41.67% ROI).
- Minnesota was 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -14.33% ROI
- Minnesota was 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
- Minnesota was 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota
North Carolina is 15-7 (.625) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .544
North Carolina is 12-5 (.706) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .566
North Carolina is 12-10 (.545) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .396
North Carolina is 15-7 (.625) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .539
Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina
Minnesota was winless (0-7) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .405
Minnesota is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .412
Minnesota is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .295
Minnesota was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .403
Matchup Notes for North Carolina vs. Minnesota
Minnesota’s offense threw for 1,864 passing yards in 13 games (just 143.4 YPG) last season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 237.4 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.
Minnesota’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense allowed just 5.8 RAC to RBs last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s TEs had 30 receptions in 13 games (just 2.3 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten TEs. North Carolina’s defense allowed 20.5 receptions per game last season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs gained 917 yards on 66 receptions (13.9 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Minnesota’s defense allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
North Carolina’s WRs gained 2,388 yards on 167 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC WRs. Minnesota’s defense allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
North Carolina’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Minnesota’s defense allowed just 11.0 RAC last season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina’s TEs gained 917 yards on 66 receptions (13.9 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Minnesota’s defense allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
North Carolina’s WRs gained 2,388 yards on 167 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC WRs. Minnesota’s defense allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
North Carolina TEs have picked up first downs on 16 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
North Carolina’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Minnesota’s defense allowed just 11.0 RAC last season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina gained 3,571 yards on 275 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC skill players. Minnesota’s defense allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota’s offense threw for 1,864 passing yards in 13 games (just 143.4 YPG) last season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. North Carolina’s defense allowed 237.4 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.
Minnesota’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense allowed just 5.8 RAC to RBs last season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s TEs had 30 receptions in 13 games (just 2.3 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten TEs. North Carolina’s defense allowed 20.5 receptions per game last season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Minnesota had just 143.4 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. North Carolina’s defense allowed 237.4 receiving yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.
Minnesota’s QBs has thrown for 4,233 passing yards in 26 games (just 162.8 YPG) since the 2022 season — 10th-worst among FBS teams. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 255.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 116 of 1,016 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 116 of 1,016 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
North Carolina allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
North Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (44/908) since the 2022 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
North Carolina has allowed 105 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2022 season– 5th-most in FBS
Minnesota Golden Gophers Defensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 70 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Minnesota has sacked opposing QBs just once on 64 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 16.1
Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2
Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 70 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
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