- Texas Tech is a -9.5 point favorite vs. North Texas
- North Texas vs. Texas Tech Total(Over/Under): 69.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The North Texas Mean Green (2-0) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Lubbock, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).
The North Texas vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 69.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | +9.5 -105 | 69.5 -110 | +300 |
| Texas Tech | -9.5 -115 | 69.5 -110 | -400 |
North Texas vs Texas Tech Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both teams, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- North Texas is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 180% ROI
- North Texas is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
- North Texas is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
North Texas is 4-1 (.667) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .497
North Texas is undefeated (4-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .394
North Texas is 1-4 (.200) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .399
North Texas is 2-5 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
Texas Tech is 5-2 (.625) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .377
Texas Tech is 9-4 (.562) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– 14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .404
Texas Tech is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .632
Texas Tech is 6-1 (.750) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .494
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech’s TEs has 11 receptions in 2 games (5.5 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 721 passing yards in 2 games (360.5 YPG) this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 306.5 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s WRs has averaged 36.0 targets per game this season — highest among Big 12 WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 19.5 receptions per game to WRs this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.0% of 86 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.7% of attempts this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 737 passing yards in 2 games (368.5 YPG) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 310.5 passing yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 737 passing yards in 2 games (368.5 YPG) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 310.5 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.0% of 86 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.7% of attempts this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas WRs have 39 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas QBs have 14 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 737 passing yards in 2 games (368.5 YPG) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 310.5 passing yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech Skill Players have been targeted 49.5 times per game (99/2) this season– highest among Big 12 Teams; Average: 28.8
Texas Tech’s TEs has 11 receptions in 2 games (5.5 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech Skill Players have averaged 32.5 receptions per game (65/2) this season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 19.0
Texas Tech’s offense has thrown for 721 passing yards in 2 games (360.5 YPG) this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense has allowed 306.5 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech Skill Players have been targeted 99 times this season– most among Big 12 Teams
North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas has forced 6 fumbles on 608 carries (101.3 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.3
North Texas has forced 6 fumbles on 608 carries (101.3 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 41.2
North Texas has allowed 234.2 rushing yards per game (3,279/14) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 146.0
North Texas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 117 of 1,150 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) since the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
North Texas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 63 of 608 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 11 attempts (36%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
Texas Tech has allowed 7 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS
Texas Tech has allowed 7 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 13.4
Texas Tech has allowed 7 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big 12
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