Ohio State vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • Ohio State (10-0) are -27.5 point favorites vs Maryland (6-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points

The Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0) visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins (6-5) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in College Park.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Ohio State vs. Maryland is total points.

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Ohio State vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State
Maryland

Ohio State vs Maryland Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 78.0% confidence.

Ohio State vs Maryland Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 80.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Maryland, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • C.J. Stroud has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Rakim Jarrett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Dontay Demus Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Ohio State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 12.55% ROI
  • Ohio State is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Ohio State is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Maryland is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -1.38% ROI
  • Maryland is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Maryland is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

#2 Ohio State is 20-1 (.952) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — best in FBS; Average: .494

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (11-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .383

#2 Ohio State is 20-1 (.952) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for best in FBS; Average: .554

#2 Ohio State is 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .379

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Maryland is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .311

Maryland is winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386

Maryland is 7-2 (.538) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Maryland is 11-1 (.846) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .629

Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Maryland

Maryland’s TEs has 122 receptions in 22 games (5.5 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among P5 TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 4.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — third-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.0% of 270 attempts this season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — tied for third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has gained 6,337 yards on 411 receptions (15.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 7,612 passing yards in 22 games (346.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense has allowed 259.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State WRs have 100 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.0% of 270 attempts this season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — tied for third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

#2 Ohio State RBs have rushed for 15 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

#2 Ohio State WRs have 100 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#2 Ohio State WRs have averaged 288.0 receiving yards per game (6,337/22) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 172.3

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland’s TEs has 122 receptions in 22 games (5.5 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among P5 TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 4.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — third-worst among FBS defenses.

Maryland RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Maryland TEs have averaged 5.5 receptions per game (122/22) since last season– tied for 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.4

Maryland TEs have averaged 2.8 receptions per game (57/20) in the 2nd half since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

Maryland WRs have just one touchdown on 39 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 22 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 320 carries (80 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.4

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 22 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 320 carries (80 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 24.3

#2 Ohio State has allowed first downs on 15% of rush attempts this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 23%

Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 62 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 62 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 27 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Maryland has allowed first downs on 13% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21%

Maryland has allowed first downs on 13% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 22%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.