- Toledo is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Ohio
- Ohio vs. Toledo Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Ohio Bobcats (7-3) visit Glass Bowl to take on the Toledo Rockets (7-3) on Nov. 20 in Toledo, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.
Toledo is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Ohio vs. Toledo Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Ohio vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ohio | +1.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | +100 |
| Toledo | -1.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -120 |
Ohio vs Toledo Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio and Toledo, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ohio vs Toledo Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Toledo vs Ohio and all games with BetMGM
Ohio Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ohio has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ohio has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ohio has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Toledo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+1.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+0.75 Units / 1% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ohio Player Prop Bets Today
- Chase Hendricks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Anthony Tyus III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Coleman Owen has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Parker Navarro has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rodney Harris II has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Toledo players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Toledo Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jerjuan Newton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Junior Vandeross III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.48% ROI).
- Ohio is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 11.11% ROI
- Ohio is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Ohio is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Toledo is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Toledo is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 2.52% ROI
- Toledo is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- Toledo is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Toledo
Ohio is 14-2 (.875) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553
Ohio is 16-3 (.842) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
Ohio is 16-3 (.842) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 16th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Ohio is 14-2 (.875) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .605
Toledo: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio
Toledo is 13-6 (.684) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .401
Toledo is 9-1 (.900) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553
Toledo is 10-3 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .523
Toledo is 16-2 (.889) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .566
Matchup Notes for Ohio vs. Toledo
Toledo has 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS skill players. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s RBs has 1 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 1.1 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo’s offense has averaged 2.3 passing TDs per game this season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 1.1 passing TDs per game this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio’s RBs has gained 86 yards on 16 receptions (just 5.4 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS RBs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio’s RBs has averaged just 5.4 yards after the catch this season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio has 157 receptions in 10 games (just 15.7 per game) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio Skill Players had no touchdowns on 22 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Ohio’s RBs has gained 86 yards on 16 receptions (just 5.4 YPR) this season — T-10th-worst among FBS RBs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio’s RBs has averaged just 5.4 yards after the catch this season — T-9th-worst among FBS RBs. Toledo’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio QBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Ohio has 157 receptions in 10 games (just 15.7 per game) this season — 33rd-worst among FBS skill players. Toledo’s defense has allowed 20.5 receptions per game this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends
Toledo has 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-16th-best among FBS skill players. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Toledo Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo RBs have averaged just 3.7 Yards per Carry (954 yards/255 carries) this season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Toledo RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Toledo RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (278 yards / 77 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Ohio Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 156 of 685 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Ohio has allowed 45.2 yards from scrimmage per game in the 4th quarter this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 92.9
Ohio has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 20 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Toledo Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (424 completions/761 attempts) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Toledo opponents averaged 34.2 Passing Attempts per TD (411 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
Toledo has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (424 completions/761 attempts) since the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 61%
Toledo has allowed 10 rushing TDs on 371 carries (37.1 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.6
Toledo opponents has averaged 31.7 Passing Attempts per TD (761 Pass Attempts/24 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.2
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