Oklahoma St vs BYU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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(AP Photo/Steve Conner)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2024, 1:43 PM
  • The BYU is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Oklahoma St
  • The Oklahoma State vs. BYU Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-3) visit LaVell Edwards Stadium to take on the BYU Cougars (6-0) on Oct. 18 in Provo, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT.

BYU is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Oklahoma State vs. BYU Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Oklahoma State vs. BYU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma State+9.5 -10553.5 -115+260
BYU -9.5 -11553.5 -105-350

Oklahoma State vs BYU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 72.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma St and BYU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma State vs BYU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts BYU will cover the spread with 66.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 16% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Alan Bowman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Brennan Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Alan Bowman has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rashod Owens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best BYU Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jake Retzlaff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Darius Lassiter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jake Retzlaff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hinckley Ropati has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Jake Retzlaff has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma St is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -35.38% ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.4% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 6-0 against the spread this college football season (+6 Units / 90.23% ROI).

  • BYU is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 115.43% ROI
  • BYU is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • BYU is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Oklahoma State is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .633

Oklahoma State is 9-7 (.562) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .438

Oklahoma State is 9-2 (.818) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .542

Oklahoma State is 12-4 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .642

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

BYU is undefeated (8-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .668

BYU is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .665

BYU is undefeated (8-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .601

BYU is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .645

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma State vs. BYU

BYU has gained 1,473 yards on 110 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,084 yards on 73 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 16.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 182 attempts this season — T-22nd-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s offense has thrown for 1,816 passing yards in 6 games (302.7 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense has allowed just 188.3 passing yards per game this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs has gained 1,534 yards on 105 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State has 14 receiving touchdowns this season — T-3rd-most among Big 12 skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed 4 receiving touchdowns this season — fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 3.7 yards per reception (26 yards/7 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.0

Oklahoma State’s offense has thrown for 1,816 passing yards in 6 games (302.7 YPG) this season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense has allowed just 188.3 passing yards per game this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State WRs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Oklahoma State WRs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma State Skill Players have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– most among Big 12 Teams

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU has gained 1,473 yards on 110 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,084 yards on 73 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 16.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (433 yards/53 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.9

BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 182 attempts this season — T-22nd-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.2 yards per reception (148 yards/18 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.7

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State has allowed 90 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12

Oklahoma State has allowed 90 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Oklahoma State defense has allowed 90 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Oklahoma State has allowed 14.2 yards per completion (5,401 yards/380 completions) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Oklahoma State has allowed 5,401 Passing Yards since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU opponents has averaged 55.5 Passing Attempts per TD (222 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 20.8

BYU has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (22/630) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

BYU opponents has averaged 55.5 Passing Attempts per TD (222 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 21.5

BYU sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/408) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

BYU allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 61 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.