- The Penn State is a -5.5 point favorite vs. USC
- The Penn State vs. USC Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
The Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) visit United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the USC Trojans (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Los Angeles, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Penn State vs. USC Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Penn State vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Penn State | -5.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | -225 |
| USC | +5.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 | +180 |
Penn State vs USC Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 65.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and USC, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Penn State vs USC Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 70.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- USC has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- USC have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Bets Today
- Drew Allar has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for USC players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best USC Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Zachariah Branch has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Lake McRee has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Miller Moss has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Miller Moss has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Penn State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 17.02% ROI
- Penn State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Penn State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record
USC is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 44.94% ROI).
- USC is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 16.58% ROI
- USC is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -50% ROI
- USC is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 45.45% ROI
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. USC
Penn State is 15-2 (.882) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .593
Penn State is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .543
Penn State is 14-1 (.933) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .793
Penn State is 15-1 (.938) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
USC: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
USC is 10-3 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .616
USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .670
USC is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713
USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .599
Matchup Notes for Penn State vs. USC
USC has 450 receptions in 18 games (25.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
USC’s WRs has averaged 13.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
USC’s QBs has thrown for 1,464 passing yards in 5 games (292.8 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 157.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State has gained 1,220 yards on 81 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — 9th-best among FBS skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State’s WRs has gained 757 yards on 41 receptions (18.5 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.8% of 114 attempts this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. USC’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.7% of attempts this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State WRs have averaged 41.5 yards per reception (83 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 14.1
Penn State WRs have averaged 41.5 yards per reception (83 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3
Penn State Skill Players averaged 31.0 yards per reception (62 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter last week– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.4
Penn State TEs have been targeted 33 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State has gained 1,220 yards on 81 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — 9th-best among FBS skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
USC Offensive Stats & Trends
USC has 450 receptions in 18 games (25.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
USC’s WRs has averaged 13.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
USC’s QBs has thrown for 1,464 passing yards in 5 games (292.8 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 157.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
USC has 450 receptions in 18 games (25.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-worst among FBS defenses.
USC’s offense has thrown for 1,464 passing yards in 5 games (292.8 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 157.0 passing yards per game this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (63/477) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (63/477) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Penn State has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (63/477) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Penn State has tackled opponents for a loss on 143 of 588 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Penn State sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (50/340) in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends
USC has allowed 3.4 touchdowns per interception (34 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.5
USC has allowed 3.4 touchdowns per interception (34 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6
USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 93% (13 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 60%
USC allowed 4.4 touchdowns per interception (31 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7
USC has sacked opposing QBs just once on 61 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.5
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