Purdue vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:35 PM
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The Purdue Boilermakers (5-2) visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins (5-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in College Park.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Purdue vs. Maryland is total points.

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Purdue vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue
Maryland

Purdue vs Maryland Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 56.3% confidence.

Purdue vs Maryland Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Maryland, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 58% ROI)
  • King Doerue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dontay Demus Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.20 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.38 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Purdue are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Purdue are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Purdue are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Maryland are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Maryland are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Maryland are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Purdue is 8-3 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436

Purdue is 6-2 (.667) when not losing a fumble — tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428

Purdue is 5-1 (.625) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

Purdue is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .623

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue

Maryland is winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .382

Maryland is 6-1 (.667) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .457

Maryland is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .297

Maryland is 1-8 (.083) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .313

Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Maryland

Maryland has 443 receptions in 17 games (26.1 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among Power 5 skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s tight end unit has 100 receptions in 17 games (5.9 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among P5 TE corps. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s tight end unit has 25 receptions in 4 games (6.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among P5 TE corps. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 6,116 passing yards in 17 games (359.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS teams. Maryland’s defense has allowed 269.4 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s offense has thrown for 5,888 passing yards in 17 games (346.4 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense has allowed 269.4 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue have 346.6 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Power 5 skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 251.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends

Purdue Skill Players have averaged 30.8 receptions per game (524/17) since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Purdue Skill Players have averaged 30.8 receptions per game (524/17) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.7

Purdue TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Purdue WRs have averaged 21.7 receptions per game (369/17) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.0

Purdue TEs have been targeted 9 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland RBs have averaged 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (431 yards / 41 touches) on 2nd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Maryland RBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Maryland has 443 receptions in 17 games (26.1 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among Power 5 skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s tight end unit has 100 receptions in 17 games (5.9 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among P5 TE corps. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland’s tight end unit has 25 receptions in 4 games (6.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among P5 TE corps. Purdue’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends

Purdue has allowed a Completion Pct of just 18% (3 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Purdue has allowed a Completion Pct of just 18% (3 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

Purdue has allowed opponents to catch just 3 of 17 passes (18% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

Purdue has allowed opponents to catch just 3 of 17 passes (18% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Purdue has allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (62 completions/124 attempts) this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 47 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Maryland has intercepted 8 of 594 attempts (74.2 pass attempts per int.) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.8

Maryland’s opponents has attempted 46.2 passes per game this season– highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 32.5

Maryland has allowed 5.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 28 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 3.7

Maryland has allowed 6 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.