- Ohio State is a -37.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
- Purdue vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Purdue Boilermakers (1-7) visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (7-1) on Nov. 9 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -37.5 (-115).
The Purdue vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Purdue vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Purdue | +37.5 -105 | 53.5 -115 | + |
| Ohio State | -37.5 -115 | 53.5 -105 | + |
Purdue vs Ohio State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Ohio State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Purdue vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.20 Units / 0% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jahmal Edrine has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 97% ROI)
- Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Will Howard has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jeremiah Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Purdue is 0-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -100% ROI
- Purdue is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Purdue is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Ohio State is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 0.27% ROI
- Ohio State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Ohio State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Purdue is winless (0-10) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .438
Purdue is 5-10 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .675
Purdue is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Purdue is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Ohio State is winless (0-2) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .303
Ohio State is undefeated (10-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .718
Ohio State is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .433
Ohio State is 16-2 (.889) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Ohio State
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 230 attempts this season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.8% of attempts this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 230 attempts this season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.8% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 2,169 passing yards in 8 games (271.1 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense has allowed 243.2 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 209 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue has averaged just 10.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Purdue’s WRs has 203 receptions in 20 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.7% of 209 attempts this season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue has averaged just 10.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.6 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Purdue’s WRs has 203 receptions in 20 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.
Purdue’s WRs has gained 806 yards on 70 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 601 attempts since the 2023 season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 230 attempts this season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.8% of attempts this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 230 attempts this season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.8% of attempts this season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 2,169 passing yards in 8 games (271.1 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense has allowed 243.2 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State’s WRs has gained 1,811 yards on 125 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 14.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.
Ohio State has gained 2,169 yards on 165 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 14.3 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.
Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue has allowed 14.3 yards per completion (1,946 yards/136 completions) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.0
Purdue has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 84 of 578 attempts (14%) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 8%
Purdue has allowed 14.4 yards per completion (4,844 yards/337 completions) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
Purdue has allowed 14.4 yards per completion (4,844 yards/337 completions) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11.0
Purdue has forced 2 fumbles on 321 carries (160.5 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 43.0
Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State opponents has averaged 51.5 Passing Attempts per TD (206 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.5
Ohio State has allowed 11 rushing TDs on 709 carries (64.5 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26
Ohio State allowed no passing TDs (21 pass attempts) last week– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.0
Ohio State has allowed 151.9 Passing Yards per game (3,189/21) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.6
Ohio State opponents has averaged 51.5 Passing Attempts per TD (206 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 21.1
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