- California is a -18.5 point favorite vs. San Diego State
- San Diego State vs. California Total(Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The San Diego State Aztecs (1-1) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
California is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).
The San Diego State vs. California Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
Bet now on California vs San Diego State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
San Diego State vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | +18.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | +750 |
| California | -18.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | -1200 |
San Diego State vs California Prediction:
The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 89.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and California, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs California Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on California vs San Diego State and all games with BetMGM
San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.60 Units / 71% ROI)
California Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- California has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.80 Units / 94% ROI)
- California have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Diego State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Diego State Player Prop Bets Today
- Kenan Christon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jaydn Ott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Fernando Mendoza has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Fernando Mendoza has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jaydn Ott has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- San Diego State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- San Diego State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- San Diego State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI).
- California is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 30.35% ROI
- California is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- California is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. California
San Diego State is 1-8 (.111) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .496
San Diego State is 2-8 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
San Diego State is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
San Diego State is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .389
California: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
California is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .374
California is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .358
California is 1-9 (.091) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .393
California is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .448
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. California
California has gained 412 yards on 43 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
California has gained 412 yards on 43 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — worst among ACC skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has gained 43 yards on 6 receptions (just 7.2 YPR) this season — worst among ACC TEs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
No notes available for this game
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State WRs have just one touchdown on 8 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State RBs have been targeted 7 times on 3rd down this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
San Diego State Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (353 yards/21 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.1
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State RBs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
California Offensive Stats & Trends
California has gained 412 yards on 43 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
California has gained 412 yards on 43 receptions (just 9.6 YPR) this season — worst among ACC skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
California’s TEs has gained 43 yards on 6 receptions (just 7.2 YPR) this season — worst among ACC TEs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
California’s WRs has gained 321 yards on 31 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among ACC WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
California RBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (500 yards / 51 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.3
San Diego State has allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (367 yards / 72 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 3.7
San Diego State has allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (500 yards / 51 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3
San Diego State has allowed 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (53 yards / 6 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
San Diego State allowed 11.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (432 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.3
California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends
California has 7 interceptions this season– most in FBS
California has 7 interceptions this season– most among Power Conference Teams
California has averaged 3.50 interceptions per game (7/2) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.99
California has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.7
California has allowed 22 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Bet now on California vs San Diego State and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia national championship odds, Tennessee football’s playoff odds, or Ohio State odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
