San Jose St vs Washington St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

Washington State head coach Jake Dickert stands on the field during a break in play in the first half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado, Friday, Nov. 17, 2023, in Pullman, Wash. (AP Photo/Young Kwak)
(AP Photo/Young Kwak)
  • Washington St is a -11.5 point favorite vs. San Jose St
  • San Jose State vs. Washington State Total(Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

The San Jose State Spartans (3-0) visit Gesa Field at Martin Stadium to take on the Washington State Cougars (3-0) on Sep. 20 in Pullman, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT.

Washington St is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The San Jose State vs. Washington State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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San Jose State vs. Washington State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose State+11.5 -10555.5 -110+340
Washington State -11.5 -11555.5 -110-450

San Jose State vs Washington State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 85.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose St and Washington St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

San Jose State vs Washington State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington State will cover the spread with 67.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • San Jose State have covered the Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Washington State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Washington State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best San Jose State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Washington State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kyle Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).

  • San Jose State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 21.46% ROI
  • San Jose State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • San Jose State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington St is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).

  • Washington State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 130.23% ROI
  • Washington State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Washington State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State

San Jose State is 6-6 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .392

San Jose State is 7-2 (.583) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .419

San Jose State is 5-3 (.556) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396

San Jose State is 1-5 (.167) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .386

Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State

Washington State is undefeated (5-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .410

Washington State is 5-5 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .392

Washington State is undefeated (5-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Washington State is 6-1 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .538

Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. Washington State

Washington State’s WRs has gained 649 yards on 36 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 773 yards on 43 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Washington State’s QBs has thrown for 4,757 passing yards in 15 games (317.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 6th-best among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 171.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 941 passing yards in 3 games (313.7 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 301.0 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 915 passing yards in 3 games (305.0 YPG) this season — T-20th-best among FBS teams. Washington State’s defense has allowed 301.0 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 915 passing yards in 3 games (305.0 YPG) this season — T-20th-best among FBS teams. Washington State’s defense has allowed 301.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.7 Yards per Carry (1,061 yards/137 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

San Jose State RBs have averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,217 yards / 153 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 941 passing yards in 3 games (313.7 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense has allowed 301.0 passing yards per game this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State WRs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends

Washington State’s WRs has gained 649 yards on 36 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 8th-best among FBS WRs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 773 yards on 43 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Power 5 skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Washington State’s QBs has thrown for 4,757 passing yards in 15 games (317.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 6th-best among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 171.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State has gained 773 yards on 43 receptions (18.0 YPR) this season — 4th-best among FBS skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Washington State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 587 attempts since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.2% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.8

San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 95 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

San Jose State has forced 6 fumbles this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

San Jose State has averaged 2.00 interceptions per game (6/3) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.73

Washington State Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Washington State opponents has averaged 5.9 Passing Attempts per TD (100 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Washington State opponents has averaged 5.9 Passing Attempts per TD (100 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Washington State has allowed 301.0 Passing Yards per game (903/3) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 189.0

Opponents have averaged 27.0 completions per game (81 / 3) against Washington State this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.0

Washington State’s opponents has attempted 43.3 passes per game this season– highest in FBS; Average: 29.9


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.