SMU vs Tulane Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:40 AM
  • Tulane (8-2) are -3.5 point favorites vs SMU (6-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 65 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The SMU Mustangs (6-5) visit Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane Green Wave (9-2) on Nov. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New Orleans.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for SMU vs. Tulane is total points.

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SMU vs. Tulane Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU
Tulane

SMU vs Tulane Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 55.8% confidence.

SMU vs Tulane Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulane will cover the spread with 68.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and Tulane, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best SMU Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for SMU players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tre Siggers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Tulane have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.25 Units / 26% ROI)

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • SMU is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 8.79% ROI
  • SMU is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • SMU is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Tulane is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 24.39% ROI
  • Tulane is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Tulane is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

SMU is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .561

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. SMU

Tulane is 2-8 (.182) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .493

Matchup Notes for SMU vs. Tulane

SMU’s WRs have 272.1 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 173.4 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

SMU’s RBs has gained 72 yards on 22 receptions (just 3.3 YPR) this season — tied for worst among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for best among NonP5 defenses.

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU WRs have 48 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams

SMU Skill Players have 53 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

SMU QBs have 53 completions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams

SMU Skill Players have caught 67 touchdown passes since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

SMU Skill Players have 110 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

#21 Tulane RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 78 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 24.1

#21 Tulane Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/7) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 32%

#21 Tulane WRs have averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (278 yards/32 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– tied for 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU has allowed 2.7 touchdowns per interception (8 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the Red Zone this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.2

SMU has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (83 yards / 34 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 4.8

SMU has allowed 3.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (251 yards / 73 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.2

SMU has allowed 87 receptions for 20+ yards since last season– tied for 3rd fewest among Non-Power 5 Teams

SMU has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (160 completions/293 attempts) this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

#21 Tulane has allowed first downs on 7% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 28%

#21 Tulane has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (8 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 63%

#21 Tulane has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (8 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

#21 Tulane has allowed first downs on 7% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%

#21 Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on just 37 of 352 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.