South Alabama vs Ohio Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

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Ohio head coach Tim Albin yells from the sideline during the first half of the Mid-American Conference championship NCAA college football game against Toledo, Saturday, Dec. 3, 2022, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • South Alabama is a -2 point favorite vs. Ohio
  • South Alabama vs. Ohio Total(Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars (0-1) visit Peden Stadium to take on the Ohio Bobcats (0-1) on Sep. 7 in Athens, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.

South Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The South Alabama vs. Ohio Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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South Alabama vs. Ohio Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama-2 -11056.5 -110-135
Ohio +2 -11056.5 -110+110

South Alabama vs Ohio Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 55.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

South Alabama vs Ohio Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Ohio and key player performances this season.


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  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ohio have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Ohio has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best South Alabama Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jamaal Pritchett has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Javon Ivory has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Braylon McReynolds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ohio Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Parker Navarro has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Parker Navarro has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • South Alabama is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • South Alabama is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • South Alabama is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Ohio is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Ohio is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Ohio is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

South Alabama is 7-2 (.700) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .594

South Alabama was winless (0-6) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .401

South Alabama is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .567

South Alabama is 13-6 (.591) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .456

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Ohio is 17-2 (.773) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .452

Ohio is 14-2 (.778) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .456

Ohio is 13-3 (.722) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

Ohio is 15-1 (.789) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .484

Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. Ohio

Ohio’s RBs had 26 receptions in 12 games (just 2.2 per game) last season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense allowed just 16.2 receptions per game last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense allowed 12.6 RAC last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s RBs rushed for 1,420 yards on 338 carries (just 4.2 YPC) last season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense allowed just 3.5 YPC to RBs last season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s RBs averaged 5.2 targets per game last season — T-27th-highest among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s RBs had 21 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — T-5th-most among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense allowed 4 rushing TDs to RBs last season — T-fewest among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s RBs had 32.5 receiving yards per game last season — 29th-best among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense allowed just 189.6 receiving yards per game last season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama WRs averaged 21.7 yards per reception (607 yards/28 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5

South Alabama WRs averaged 24.1 yards per reception (507 yards/21 catches) in close and late situations in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5

South Alabama’s RBs averaged 5.2 targets per game last season — T-27th-highest among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Alabama’s RBs had 21 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — T-5th-most among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense allowed 4 rushing TDs to RBs last season — T-fewest among FBS defenses.

South Alabama RBs averaged 157.1 rushing yards per game (2,042/13) in the 2023 season– 19th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.0

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio’s RBs had 26 receptions in 12 games (just 2.2 per game) last season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense allowed just 16.2 receptions per game last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio RBs have averaged just 4.5 Yards per Carry (3,282 yards/729 carries) since the 2022 season– T-25th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Ohio’s RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense allowed 12.6 RAC last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio RBs averaged just 4.1 Yards per Carry (1,459 yards/356 carries) in the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Ohio RBs averaged 4.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,663 yards / 385 touches) in the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in close and late situations in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 21%

South Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 58 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

South Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 58 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

South Alabama allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in close and late situations in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%

South Alabama has allowed 37 TDs in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Ohio Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 181 of 854 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio has tackled opponents for a loss on 181 of 854 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 42 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.