South Alabama vs Southern Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • South Alabama (8-2) are -7.5 point favorites vs Southern Miss (3-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points

The South Alabama Jaguars (9-2) visit M.M. Roberts Stadium to take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-8) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Hattiesburg.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for South Alabama vs. Southern Miss is total points.

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South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama
Southern Miss

South Alabama vs Southern Miss Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 54% confidence.

South Alabama vs Southern Miss Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Miss will cover the spread with 53% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Southern Miss, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+8.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.62 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • South Alabama is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 17.17% ROI
  • South Alabama is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • South Alabama is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Southern Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Southern Miss is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 25.39% ROI
  • Southern Miss is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Southern Miss is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Southern Miss: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Southern Miss is 1-10 (.091) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs — tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

Southern Miss is 1-12 (.077) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Southern Miss is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .493

Southern Miss is 2-14 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .398

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama Skill Players have no touchdowns on 70 receptions in close and late situations since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

South Alabama WRs have no touchdowns on 38 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

South Alabama RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

South Alabama WRs have averaged just 10.1 yards per reception (323 yards/32 catches) with over 10 yards to go since last season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.0

South Alabama RBs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (26/133) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 8%

Southern Miss RBs have averaged 3.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (444 yards / 129 touches) on 1st down this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Southern Miss RBs have averaged 3.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,050 yards / 268 touches) on 1st down since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Southern Miss have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (26/133) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 8%

Southern Miss have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (70/539) since last season– 4th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (58 completions/125 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 59%

South Alabama has allowed just 10.8 yards per completion (1,992 yards/185 completions) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.8

South Alabama has allowed 28.3 carries per game (255 carries / 9 games) this season– tied for lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.2

South Alabama has allowed 88.2 rushing yards per game (794/9) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 156.8

South Alabama has allowed 19 TDs this season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.3

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has allowed 4.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (291 yards / 65 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Southern Miss has averaged 1.44 interceptions per game (13/9) this season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.84

Southern Miss has 13 interceptions this season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Southern Miss has intercepted 13 of 289 attempts (22.2 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.7

Southern Miss has allowed opponents to catch 37 of 58 passes (64% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.