Southern Miss vs UL Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:00 AM
  • Southern Miss (3-8) are -3 point favorites vs UL Monroe (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 51 points

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-8) visit JPS Field at Malone Stadium to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-7) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Monroe.

Southern Miss are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).

The Southern Miss vs. UL Monroe Over/Under is 51 total points.

Bet now on UL Monroe vs Southern Miss & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Southern Miss vs. UL Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Miss-3 -12051 -110-165
UL Monroe +3 +10051 -110+140

Southern Miss vs UL Monroe Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Southern Miss will win this game with 54% confidence.

The prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Southern Miss and UL Monroe, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+7.70 Units / 144% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.62 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+14.10 Units / 132% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Southern Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss has gone 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.79% ROI).

  • Southern Miss is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 13.62% ROI
  • Southern Miss is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Southern Miss is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Monroe has gone 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • UL Monroe is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 12.02% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Southern Miss: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

Southern Miss is 2-15 (.118) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .427

Southern Miss is 2-15 (.118) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .398

Southern Miss is 1-8 (.111) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Southern Miss is 1-11 (.083) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .388

UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Miss

Louisiana-Monroe is 2-11 (.154) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Louisiana-Monroe is 1-10 (.091) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .355

Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (28/145) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 8%

Southern Miss RBs have averaged 3.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (509 yards / 144 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Southern Miss QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Southern Miss have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (72/573) since last season– 4th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Southern Miss have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (28/145) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 8%

UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players have just one touchdown on 40 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

Louisiana-Monroe WRs have no touchdowns on 33 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged just 3.6 Yards per Carry (1,469 yards/410 carries) since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (470 yards / 145 touches) on 2nd down since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,740 yards / 461 touches) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most in FBS

Southern Miss has allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Southern Miss has 15 interceptions — most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Southern Miss has averaged 1.50 interceptions per game (15/10) this season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 0.83

Southern Miss has averaged 1.50 interceptions per game (15/10) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.82

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (46 completions/64 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (46 completions/64 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to catch 47 of 65 passes (72% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed first downs on 43% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 22%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (72 completions/103 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.