Southern Miss vs UL Monroe Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:07 AM
  • Southern Miss (3-8) are -3 point favorites vs UL Monroe (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 51 points

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-9) visit JPS Field at Malone Stadium to take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (4-8) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Monroe.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The Southern Miss vs. UL Monroe Over/Under is total points.

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Southern Miss vs. UL Monroe Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Miss
UL Monroe

Southern Miss vs UL Monroe Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Southern Miss will win this game with 54% confidence.

The prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Southern Miss and UL Monroe, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+7.70 Units / 144% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.62 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+14.10 Units / 132% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • UL – Monroe has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Southern Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Southern Miss is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 13.62% ROI
  • Southern Miss is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Southern Miss is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

UL Monroe Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Monroe has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UL Monroe is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 12.02% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • UL Monroe is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Southern Miss: Keys to the Game vs. UL Monroe

Southern Miss is 2-15 (.118) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .427

Southern Miss is 2-15 (.118) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .398

Southern Miss is 1-8 (.111) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Southern Miss is 1-11 (.083) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .388

UL Monroe: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Miss

Louisiana-Monroe is 2-11 (.154) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Louisiana-Monroe is 1-10 (.091) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .355

Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (28/145) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 8%

Southern Miss RBs have averaged 3.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (509 yards / 144 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Southern Miss QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Southern Miss have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (72/573) since last season– 4th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Southern Miss have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (28/145) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 8%

UL Monroe Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe Skill Players have just one touchdown on 40 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

Louisiana-Monroe WRs have no touchdowns on 33 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged just 3.6 Yards per Carry (1,469 yards/410 carries) since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (470 yards / 145 touches) on 2nd down since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Louisiana-Monroe RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,740 yards / 461 touches) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most in FBS

Southern Miss has allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Southern Miss has 15 interceptions — most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Southern Miss has averaged 1.50 interceptions per game (15/10) this season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 0.83

Southern Miss has averaged 1.50 interceptions per game (15/10) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.82

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (46 completions/64 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (46 completions/64 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed opponents to catch 47 of 65 passes (72% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed first downs on 43% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 22%

Louisiana-Monroe has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (72 completions/103 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.