- The Utah is a -4.5 point favorite vs. TCU
- The TCU vs. Utah Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The TCU Horned Frogs (3-3) visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on the Utah Utes (4-2) on Oct. 19 in Salt Lake City, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Utah is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The TCU vs. Utah Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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TCU vs. Utah Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| TCU | +4.5 -110 | 49.5 -115 | +165 |
| Utah | -4.5 -110 | 49.5 -105 | -200 |
TCU vs Utah Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Utah, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
TCU vs Utah Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Utah Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Utah have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for TCU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best TCU Player Prop Bets Today
- Savion Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- Josh Hoover has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Drake Dabney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Josh Hoover has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Brant Kuithe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dorian Singer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Money Parks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Micah Bernard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.55 Units / -68.42% ROI).
- TCU is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -58.5% ROI
- TCU is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- TCU is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -35.61% ROI).
- Utah is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -7.57% ROI
- Utah is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -68.42% ROI
- Utah is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.54% ROI
TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Utah
TCU is 1-8 (.111) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .506
TCU is 1-8 (.111) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .533
TCU is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
TCU is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Utah: Keys to the Game vs. TCU
Utah is 10-1 (.909) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .791
Utah is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .645
Utah is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .623
Utah is 10-2 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Matchup Notes for TCU vs. Utah
Utah’s TEs has gained 395 yards on 28 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah’s TEs has gained 395 yards on 28 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah has gained 1,385 yards on 102 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 skill players. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s offense has thrown for 2,057 passing yards in 6 games (342.8 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 172.0 passing yards per game this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
TCU’s offense has thrown for 2,057 passing yards in 6 games (342.8 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 172.0 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
TCU have 342.8 receiving yards per game this season — best among Big 12 skill players. Utah’s defense has allowed just 172.0 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
TCU Offensive Stats & Trends
TCU WRs have averaged 22.7 receptions per game (136/6) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
TCU’s offense has thrown for 2,057 passing yards in 6 games (342.8 YPG) this season — 5th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense has allowed just 172.0 passing yards per game this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
TCU WRs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
TCU WRs have caught 10 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Big 12 Teams
TCU WRs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among Big 12 Teams
Utah Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Utah TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah WRs have averaged a touchdown every 28.0 receptions (56 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Utah TEs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah’s TEs has gained 395 yards on 28 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends
TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 36 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 30 of 244 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 19 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 13 of 118 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.
TCU has allowed 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (480 yards / 146 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in the Big 12; Average: 3.7
Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 10 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Utah has allowed first downs on 17% of rush attempts since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 23%
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 25 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 10 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 25 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
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