TCU vs West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:34 PM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The TCU Horned Frogs (8-0) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers (3-5) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Morgantown.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for TCU vs. W.Virginia is total points.

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TCU vs. W.Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU
W.Virginia

TCU vs W.Virginia Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 63.3% confidence.

TCU vs W.Virginia Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and W.Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best TCU Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for TCU players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best W.Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for W.Virginia players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

TCU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • TCU is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • TCU is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • TCU is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

W.Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W.Virginia has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • W.Virginia is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • W.Virginia is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • W.Virginia is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

TCU: Keys to the Game vs. W.Virginia

#8 TCU is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .564

#8 TCU is 7-3 (.538) when passing for more than 200 yards — 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .403

#8 TCU is 7-2 (.778) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .622

#8 TCU is 6-3 (.545) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

W.Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

West Virginia is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

West Virginia is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .463

West Virginia is winless (0-8) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

West Virginia is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Matchup Notes for TCU vs. W.Virginia

West Virginia’s WRs have 225.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 180.3 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

TCU has 2.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — best among Big 12 skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for second-best among Big 12 defenses.

TCU’s WRs has 16 receiving touchdowns this season — most among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

TCU has 19 receiving touchdowns this season — most among Big 12 skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends

#8 TCU WRs have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (748 yards/42 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

TCU has 2.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — best among Big 12 skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for second-best among Big 12 defenses.

TCU’s WRs has 16 receiving touchdowns this season — most among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

TCU has 19 receiving touchdowns this season — most among Big 12 skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for second-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

TCU has 37 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Big 12 skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 36 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — third-most among Big 12 defenses.

W.Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia TEs have no touchdowns on 30 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.5

West Virginia WRs have been targeted 34 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

West Virginia’s WRs have 225.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 180.3 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

West Virginia’s WRs has 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 1.4 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends

#8 TCU has forced 5 fumbles on 644 carries (128.8 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.1

#8 TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 71 of 644 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#8 TCU has forced 5 fumbles on 644 carries (128.8 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 41.6

#8 TCU has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 22 of 477 attempts (5%) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

#8 TCU has allowed first downs on 34% of rush attempts in close and late situations since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 22%

West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends

West Virginia has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 30 of 176 attempts (17%) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

West Virginia has allowed first downs on 54% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 22%

West Virginia has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 30 of 176 attempts (17%) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 10%

West Virginia has allowed 16.2 yards per completion (1,667 yards/103 completions) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.1

West Virginia has allowed first downs on 54% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.