- Tennessee is a -7 point favorite vs. Oklahoma
- Tennessee vs. Oklahoma Total(Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Tennessee Volunteers (3-0) visit Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium to take on the Oklahoma Sooners (3-0) on Sep. 21 in Norman, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -7 (-120).
The Tennessee vs. Oklahoma Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Tennessee vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tennessee | -7 -120 | 57.5 -110 | -300 |
| Oklahoma | +7 +100 | 57.5 -110 | +230 |
Tennessee vs Oklahoma Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Oklahoma, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Tennessee vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 62.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Oklahoma Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today
- Bru McCoy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dylan Sampson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nico Iamaleava has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oklahoma players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oklahoma Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Gavin Sawchuk has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Andrel Anthony has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Nic Anderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jackson Arnold has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jalil Farooq has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 89.55% ROI).
- Tennessee is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 28.99% ROI
- Tennessee is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 92.31% ROI
- Tennessee is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Oklahoma is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 4.43% ROI
- Oklahoma is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI
- Oklahoma is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma
Tennessee is 8-3 (.615) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .480
Tennessee is 3-2 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .386
Tennessee is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .392
Tennessee is 10-3 (.667) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .526
Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Oklahoma is undefeated (9-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .498
Oklahoma is 12-2 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .495
Oklahoma is undefeated (7-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .589
Oklahoma is 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .392
Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. Oklahoma
Oklahoma has gained 504 yards on 57 receptions (just 8.8 YPR) this season — worst among SEC skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s QBs has thrown for 504 passing yards in 3 games (just 168.0 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 105.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s QBs has thrown for 4,727 passing yards in 16 games (295.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 199.6 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s WRs has just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among SEC WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among SEC defenses.
Tennessee’s offense has averaged 1.9 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 1.3 passing TDs per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among SEC defenses.
Tennessee’s TEs has 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — best among SEC TEs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among SEC defenses.
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes this season– most among SEC Teams
Tennessee RBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Tennessee RBs have averaged 285.0 rushing yards per game (855/3) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 133.1
Tennessee QBs have 4 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Tennessee TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among SEC Teams
Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma WRs have averaged just 9.3 yards per reception (326 yards/35 catches) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.9
Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged 21.7 yards per reception (455 yards/21 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2022 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.8
Oklahoma has gained 504 yards on 57 receptions (just 8.8 YPR) this season — worst among SEC skill players. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s QBs has thrown for 504 passing yards in 3 games (just 168.0 YPG) this season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 105.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s QBs has thrown for 4,727 passing yards in 16 games (295.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 199.6 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee has allowed no passing TDs (62 pass attempts) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 23.7
Tennessee has not allowed any touchdowns on 37 completions this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 14.3
Tennessee has allowed 3.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (482 yards / 132 touches) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 6.5
Tennessee has allowed 5.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (4,839 yards / 865 touches) since the 2023 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 6.8
Tennessee has allowed 3.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (482 yards / 132 touches) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 5.5
Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 21% of PATs since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest in FBS; Average: 7%
Oklahoma has averaged 1.57 interceptions per game (22/14) since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 0.81
Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 55 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 15%.
Oklahoma has forced 6 fumbles this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Oklahoma has forced 6 fumbles this season– T-3rd-most in FBS
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