Texas A&M vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Auburn running back Jarquez Hunter (27) carries the ball against Alabama during the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 26, 2022, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
  • Texas A&M is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Auburn
  • Texas A&M vs. Auburn Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) visit Pat Dye Field at Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (4-6) on Nov. 23 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Texas A&M vs. Auburn Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Texas A&M vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M-2.5 -11546.5 -110-135
Auburn +2.5 -10546.5 -110+110

Texas A&M vs Auburn Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A&M and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Texas A&M vs Auburn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas A&M Player Prop Bets Today

  • Conner Weigman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Le’Veon Moss has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Le’Veon Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Le’Veon Moss has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Conner Weigman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Auburn players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Auburn Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jarquez Hunter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rivaldo Fairweather has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cam Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -43.12% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 8.05% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Auburn is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -14.13% ROI
  • Auburn is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Auburn is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Texas A&M is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .673

Texas A&M is 12-1 (.923) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .673

Texas A&M is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .650

Texas A&M is 15-3 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .677

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

Auburn is 1-9 (.100) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .527

Auburn is winless (0-5) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .471

Auburn is 1-9 (.100) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Auburn is 1-10 (.091) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .488

Matchup Notes for Texas A&M vs. Auburn

Auburn’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 295 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has 23 receptions in 10 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 15.9 receptions per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has 23 receptions in 10 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 15.9 receptions per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s RBs has averaged 11.6 yards after the catch this season — 13th-best among FBS RBs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 295 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Auburn has gained 2,565 yards on 187 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (7 completions/23 attempts) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 37 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Texas A&M has sacked opposing QBs just once on 57 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.4

Texas A&M allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (7 completions/23 attempts) last week– best in the SEC; Average: 59%

Texas A&M allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (3 completions/12 attempts) in the 1st half last week– best in the SEC; Average: 60%

Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn allowed passes of 40+ yards on 1 of 16 attempts (6%) last week– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 1%

Auburn has forced 3 fumbles on 353 carries (117.7 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 36.0

Auburn allowed 34.0 yards per completion (68 yards/2 completions) on 1st down last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.5

Auburn has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (14 completions/27 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 64%

Auburn allowed 17.1 yards per completion (154 yards/9 completions) last week– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.6


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.