Texas Tech vs Iowa St. Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston (2) celebrates a touchdown during an NFL preseason football game against the Los Angeles Chargers, Friday, Aug. 26, 2022, in New Orleans. (AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • Iowa St. (4-6) are -3.5 point favorites vs Texas Tech (5-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-5) visit Jack Trice Stadium to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (4-7) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Ames.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Texas Tech vs. Iowa St. is total points.

Bet now on Iowa St. vs Texas Tech & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Texas Tech vs. Iowa St. Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech
Iowa St.

Texas Tech vs Iowa St. Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 56.2% confidence.

Texas Tech vs Iowa St. Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Iowa St., plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas Tech Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas Tech players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • SaRodorick Thompson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Iowa St. Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa St. players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hunter Dekkers has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Hunter Dekkers has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jirehl Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Jaylin Noel has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games (+3.20 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 8.92% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI

Iowa St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa St. has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Iowa St. is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -18.91% ROI
  • Iowa St. is 2-8 when betting the Over for -6.85 Units / -61.99% ROI
  • Iowa St. is 8-2 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 52.97% ROI

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa St.

Texas Tech is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .617

Texas Tech is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Texas Tech is 1-10 (.091) when intercepting no passes — tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .357

Texas Tech is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .396

Iowa St.: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

Iowa State is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296

Iowa State is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

Iowa State is 1-9 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .311

Iowa State is 3-9 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .341

Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Iowa St.

Iowa State has been targeted 361 times this season — fifth-most among Power 5 skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 1,944 receiving yards this season — third-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State has 248 receptions in 9 games (27.6 per game) this season — fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has been targeted 170 times since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-most among P5 TEs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 5,421 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has 182 receptions in 9 games (20.2 per game) this season — tied for third-best among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.8 receptions per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has been targeted 292 times this season — fourth-most among Power 5 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed 1,504 receiving yards this season — fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech has been targeted 381 times this season — fifth-most among FBS skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed 1,504 receiving yards this season — fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 36.0 receptions (72 Rec/2 TDs) in close and late situations since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

Texas Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 36.0 receptions (72 Rec/2 TDs) in close and late situations since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

Texas Tech’s WRs has 182 receptions in 9 games (20.2 per game) this season — tied for third-best among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.8 receptions per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech’s WRs has been targeted 292 times this season — fourth-most among Power 5 WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed 1,504 receiving yards this season — fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech has been targeted 381 times this season — fifth-most among FBS skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed 1,504 receiving yards this season — fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa St. Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State Skill Players have been targeted 115 times on 3rd down this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa State TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa State WRs have 60 receptions on 3rd down this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa State Skill Players have 81 receptions on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Iowa State WRs have averaged just 9.6 yards per reception (452 yards/47 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.8

Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech has no interceptions and 23 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.3

Texas Tech has no interceptions (94 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.7

Texas Tech has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most in FBS

Texas Tech has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Texas Tech has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 11 of 43 carries (26%) on 3rd and long since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%

Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 285 carries (71.2 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 24.3

Iowa State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 285 carries (71.2 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.4

Iowa State has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 730 carries (48.7 Carries Per TD) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 24.1

Iowa State has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 730 carries (48.7 Carries Per TD) since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.7

Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (16 completions/40 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.