- Iowa is a -22.5 point favorite vs. Troy
- Troy vs. Iowa Total(Over/Under): 38.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Troy Trojans (0-2) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-110).
The Troy vs. Iowa Over/Under is 38.5 total points.
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Troy vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Troy | +22.5 -110 | 38.5 -105 | +1100 |
| Iowa | -22.5 -110 | 38.5 -115 | -2500 |
Troy vs Iowa Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Troy vs Iowa Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 74.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Troy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).
- Troy is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Troy is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Troy is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -8.51% ROI).
- Iowa is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -100% ROI
- Iowa is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Iowa is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
Troy is 17-1 (.895) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Troy is 18-1 (.857) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
Troy is 9-2 (.692) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .395
Troy is 7-2 (.778) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .418
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Troy
Iowa is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .294
Iowa is 4-1 (.571) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Iowa is 8-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .525
Iowa is 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .382
Matchup Notes for Troy vs. Iowa
Iowa has gained 340 yards on 33 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Troy’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa has gained 340 yards on 33 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) this season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Troy’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa has averaged just 10.3 yards after the catch this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Troy’s defense has allowed just 8.9 RAC this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Troy has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch this season — T-25th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed 10.9 RAC this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends
Troy has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch this season — T-25th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed 10.9 RAC this season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Troy WRs have caught 15 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams
Troy Skill Players have caught 10 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Troy WRs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Troy WRs have 29 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa TEs have been targeted 9 times on 3rd down this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Iowa TEs have been targeted 9 times on 3rd down this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Iowa TEs have been targeted 6 times in short yardage situations this season– most among FBS Teams
Iowa WRs have averaged just 5.7 receptions per game (160/28) since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.2
Iowa WRs have caught just 22 of 75 passes (29% Reception Pct) on 3rd down since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 56%
Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends
Troy has not recorded a sack (53 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4
Troy opponents has averaged 32.3 Passing Attempts per TD (936 Pass Attempts/29 Passing TDs) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.0
Troy has not recorded a sack (53 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.9
Troy has allowed 29 touchdowns on 580 completions (20.0 Completions Per TD) since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6
Troy has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 39 of 917 attempts (4%) since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Iowa has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 23 of 535 attempts (4%) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 10%
Iowa has allowed 11 rushing TDs on 996 carries (90.5 Carries Per TD) since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 24.2
Iowa has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 39 of 917 attempts (4%) since the 2022 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 9%
Iowa has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 559 carries (79.9 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.6
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