UAB vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

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Arkansas tight end Luke Hasz (9) pulls in a touchdown reception in the second half of an NCAA college football game against LSU in Baton Rouge, La., Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023. LSU won 34-31. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
(AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2024, 11:24 AM
  • Arkansas is a -24.5 point favorite vs. UAB
  • UAB vs. Arkansas Total(Over/Under): 60 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

The UAB Blazers (1-1) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT.

Arkansas is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-110).

The UAB vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 60 total points.

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UAB vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UAB+24.5 -11060 -110+1100
Arkansas -24.5 -11060 -110-2500

UAB vs Arkansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 93.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UAB vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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      Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

        UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

        UAB is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

        • UAB is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -100% ROI
        • UAB is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
        • UAB is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

        Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

        Arkansas is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

        • Arkansas is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
        • Arkansas is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
        • Arkansas is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

        UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

        UAB is 3-7 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .517

        UAB is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

        UAB is 2-7 (.222) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .425

        UAB is winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143

        Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

        Arkansas is winless (0-8) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508

        Arkansas is winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .425

        Arkansas is winless (0-7) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .409

        Arkansas is winless (0-9) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .406

        Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Arkansas

        Arkansas’s QBs has thrown for 824 passing yards in 2 games (412.0 YPG) this season — 2nd-best among FBS teams. UAB’s defense has allowed just 73.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

        Arkansas’s offense has thrown for 824 passing yards in 2 games (412.0 YPG) this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense has allowed just 73.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

        Arkansas has gained 816 yards on 53 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. UAB’s defense has allowed just 8.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

        No notes available for this game

        UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

        UAB RBs have been targeted 7.7 times per game (108/14) since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.1

        UAB RBs have averaged 6.5 receptions per game (91/14) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1

        UAB RBs have been targeted 4.0 times per game (56/14) in the 2nd half since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

        UAB RBs have rushed for 17 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

        UAB RBs have been targeted 6 times in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

        Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

        Arkansas Skill Players have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among SEC Teams

        Arkansas TEs have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (250 yards/11 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8

        Arkansas RBs have rushed for 8 TDs this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

        Arkansas Skill Players have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

        Arkansas’s QBs has thrown for 824 passing yards in 2 games (412.0 YPG) this season — 2nd-best among FBS teams. UAB’s defense has allowed just 73.5 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.

        UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

        UAB has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 45 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12%.

        UAB has allowed no passing TDs (37 pass attempts) this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.4

        UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 11 of 170 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

        UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 111 of 971 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

        UAB has allowed 73.5 Passing Yards per game (147/2) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 211.1

        Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends

        Arkansas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (7 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 64%

        Arkansas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (7 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

        Arkansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 38 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 12%.

        Arkansas has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 101 of 790 attempts (13%) since the 2022 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%

        Arkansas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (3 completions/11 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 56%


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