- The South Florida is a -13.5 point favorite vs. UAB
- The UAB vs. South Florida Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The UAB Blazers (1-5) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the South Florida Bulls (2-4) on Oct. 19 in Tampa, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
South Florida is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The UAB vs. South Florida Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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UAB vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UAB | +13.5 -105 | 57.5 -110 | +400 |
| South Florida | -13.5 -115 | 57.5 -110 | -550 |
UAB vs South Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 83.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and South Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UAB vs South Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UAB Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- UAB has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- UAB has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)
UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UAB is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- UAB is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -6.7% ROI
- UAB is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- UAB is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- South Florida is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -33.33% ROI
- South Florida is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -51.52% ROI
- South Florida is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 43.94% ROI
UAB: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
UAB is 3-13 (.188) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .419
UAB is 3-11 (.214) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .346
UAB is 3-11 (.214) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .388
UAB is 4-13 (.235) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .423
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. UAB
South Florida is 5-10 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .485
South Florida is 6-2 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .551
South Florida is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .423
South Florida is 4-2 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .506
Matchup Notes for UAB vs. South Florida
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.0% of 201 attempts this season — 5th-worst among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.0% of attempts this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has averaged just 0.7 passing TDs per game this season — T-4th-worst among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense has allowed just 0.8 passing TDs per game this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
UAB’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 200 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.
UAB Offensive Stats & Trends
UAB’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 200 attempts this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts this season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.
UAB Kickers have averaged 55.2 yards per kickoff (3,807 yards/69 kickoffs) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.8
UAB RBs have been targeted 6.9 times per game (125/18) since the 2023 season– 4th-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2
UAB RBs have been targeted 3.7 times per game (67/18) in the 2nd half since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
UAB Skill Players were targeted 16 times in the 1st quarter last week– most among FBS Teams
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida WRs have averaged a touchdown every 41.5 receptions (83 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
South Florida Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 37.7 receptions (113 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.0% of 201 attempts this season — 5th-worst among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.0% of attempts this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has averaged just 0.7 passing TDs per game this season — T-4th-worst among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense has allowed just 0.8 passing TDs per game this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida Skill Players had no touchdowns on 22 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
UAB allowed 34.0 yards per completion (102 yards/3 completions) last week– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.5
Opponents have averaged just 9.2 completions per game (55 / 6) against UAB this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.7
UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 17 of 275 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Opponents have averaged just 9.2 completions per game (55 / 6) against UAB this season– best in FBS; Average: 18.5
UAB allowed 34.0 yards per completion (102 yards/3 completions) last week– worst in FBS; Average: 12.1
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has allowed 6 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (38 completions/52 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%
South Florida has allowed 6 TDs in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (38 completions/52 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
South Florida has allowed 41 TD passes since the 2023 season– 3rd-most in FBS
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