UL Lafayette vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

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Wake Forest defensive lineman Jasheen Davis (30) plays against Vanderbilt during an NCAA college football game on Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in Nashville, TN.
(AP Photo/John Amis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2024, 2:43 PM
  • The Wake Forest is a -3.5 point favorite vs. UL Lafayette
  • The Louisiana vs. Wake Forest Total(Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (2-1) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-2) on Sep. 28 in Winston-Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Wake Forest is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Louisiana vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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Louisiana vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisiana+3.5 -10560.5 -110+145
Wake Forest -3.5 -11560.5 -110-175

Louisiana vs Wake Forest Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 57.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UL Lafayette and Wake Forest, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Louisiana vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (+0.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisiana Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jacob Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Robert Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chandler Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chandler Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wake Forest players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wake Forest Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Taylor Morin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Demond Claiborne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UL Lafayette is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -4.48% ROI).

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -50% ROI).

Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Louisiana is 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .444

Louisiana is 4-6 (.400) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .551

Louisiana is 2-6 (.250) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .507

Louisiana is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .555

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana

Wake Forest is 2-9 (.182) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .538

Wake Forest is 3-8 (.273) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .622

Wake Forest is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .536

Wake Forest is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .457

Matchup Notes for Louisiana vs. Wake Forest

Wake Forest’s offense has thrown for 988 passing yards in 3 games (329.3 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 114.0 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s QBs has thrown for 988 passing yards in 3 games (329.3 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 114.0 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 121 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.2% of attempts this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana’s RBs have just 10.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-15th-worst among FBS RBs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 295.3 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Louisiana’s RBs has rushed for 477 yards on 65 carries (7.3 YPC) this season — 6th-best among FBS RBs. Wake Forest’s defense have allowed 4.5 YPC this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Louisiana’s RBs has rushed for 477 yards on 65 carries (7.3 YPC) this season — 6th-best among FBS RBs. Wake Forest’s defense have allowed 5.5 YPC to RBs this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana TEs have been targeted 7 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana’s RBs have just 10.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-15th-worst among FBS RBs. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 295.3 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Louisiana Punters have punted 1.0 times per game this season– 2nd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.0

Louisiana TEs had 5 receptions in the 2nd half last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Louisiana RBs have averaged 3.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (60 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 7.0

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest’s offense has thrown for 988 passing yards in 3 games (329.3 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 114.0 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s QBs has thrown for 988 passing yards in 3 games (329.3 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS teams. Louisiana’s defense has allowed just 114.0 passing yards per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 121 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.2% of attempts this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (60/442) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 6%

Wake Forest have been sacked on 18% of pass attempts (19/108) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 7%

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana has allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most in FBS

Louisiana has allowed a Completion Pct of 92% (12 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Louisiana has allowed 11 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Louisiana has not forced a fumble (104 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 41.5

Louisiana has allowed a Completion Pct of 92% (12 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Defensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 6 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

Wake Forest has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (2 completions/7 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Wake Forest has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (74 completions/102 attempts) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Wake Forest has tackled opponents for a loss on just 12 of 117 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.

Wake Forest has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 13 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.