- The Utah is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Arizona St
- The Utah vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Utah Utes (4-1) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (4-1) on Oct. 11 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Utah is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Utah vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Utah vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah | -6.5 -110 | 45.5 -115 | -250 |
| Arizona State | +6.5 -110 | 45.5 -105 | +200 |
Utah vs Arizona State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 61.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah and Arizona St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Utah vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 66.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Utah Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Arizona State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+12.60 Units / 127% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Utah players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah Player Prop Bets Today
- Money Parks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arizona State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Trenton Bourguet has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Sam Leavitt has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.20 Units / 120% ROI)
- Trenton Bourguet has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
- Troy Omeire has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xavier Guillory has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -42.2% ROI).
- Utah is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -9.2% ROI
- Utah is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI
- Utah is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI
Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 68.18% ROI).
- Arizona State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 47.45% ROI
- Arizona State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 20.45% ROI
- Arizona State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State
Utah is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .627
Utah is 10-2 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .666
Utah is 12-3 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .648
Utah is 11-5 (.688) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .534
Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah
Arizona State is 3-9 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443
Arizona State is 2-5 (.286) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Arizona State is 3-5 (.375) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .604
Arizona State is 3-8 (.273) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .537
Matchup Notes for Utah vs. Arizona State
Arizona State’s WRs have just 109.8 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 173.0 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State’s WRs have just 109.8 receiving yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 173.0 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s WRs have just 109.8 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Utah’s defense has allowed just 173.0 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah has 264 receptions in 18 games (just 14.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 15th-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Utah’s WRs has 173 receptions in 18 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes this season– most among FBS Teams
Utah’s WRs has averaged just 11.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
Utah TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah TEs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah has 264 receptions in 18 games (just 14.7 per game) since the 2023 season — 15th-worst among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.7 receptions (23 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.7 receptions (23 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.7 receptions (14 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 7.7 receptions (23 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Arizona State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.7 receptions (14 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 2.0
Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 33 of 149 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Utah has allowed 89.6 rushing yards per game (1,612/18) since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 151.0
Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State had no interceptions and 2 TD passes allowed last week– T-2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 2.0
Arizona State has intercepted 8 of 586 attempts (73.2 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.6
Arizona State has allowed 4.9 touchdowns per interception (39 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6
Arizona State has allowed 14 rushing TDs on 87 carries (6.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.4
Arizona State has allowed 4.9 touchdowns per interception (39 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.8
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