- Cincinnati is a -4.5 point favorite vs. West Virginia
- West Virginia vs. Cincinnati Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The West Virginia Mountaineers (4-4) visit Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (5-3) on Nov. 9 in Cincinnati, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Cincinnati is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The West Virginia vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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West Virginia vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| West Virginia | +4.5 -105 | 56.5 -110 | +165 |
| Cincinnati | -4.5 -115 | 56.5 -110 | -200 |
West Virginia vs Cincinnati Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 62.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both West Virginia and Cincinnati, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
West Virginia vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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West Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 23% ROI)
Cincinnati Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best West Virginia Player Prop Bets Today
- Garrett Greene has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jahiem White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Hudson Clement has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- CJ Donaldson Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Cincinnati players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cincinnati Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Corey Kiner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.25% ROI).
- West Virginia is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -4.73% ROI
- West Virginia is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- West Virginia is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 8% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 8.81% ROI
- Cincinnati is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -39.77% ROI
- Cincinnati is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI
West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
West Virginia is 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .675
West Virginia is 9-5 (.643) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .446
West Virginia is 11-4 (.733) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .607
West Virginia is 6-2 (.750) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .530
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia
Cincinnati is winless (0-2) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .535
Cincinnati is 9-11 (.450) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .675
Cincinnati is 3-6 (.333) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Cincinnati is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .286
Matchup Notes for West Virginia vs. Cincinnati
Cincinnati’s TEs has gained 476 yards on 40 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 15.0 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s offense has thrown for 2,133 passing yards in 8 games (266.6 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 261.0 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s TEs has gained 476 yards on 40 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 15.0 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has averaged 15.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has 201 receptions in 21 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has averaged 15.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia’s WRs has averaged 15.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has 201 receptions in 21 games (just 9.6 per game) since the 2023 season — T-17th-worst among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs has averaged 15.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 9th-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
West Virginia has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
West Virginia has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 7.8 Yards per Carry (452 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 10.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (280 yards / 28 touches) on 3rd down this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.8
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 10.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (149 yards / 14 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6
Cincinnati’s TEs has gained 476 yards on 40 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 15.0 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s offense has thrown for 2,133 passing yards in 8 games (266.6 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. West Virginia’s defense has allowed 261.0 passing yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
West Virginia Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
West Virginia has allowed 5.7 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.5
West Virginia has sacked opposing QBs just once on 69 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9
West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 225 attempts (5%) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%
West Virginia has allowed 5.7 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.7
West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 225 attempts (5%) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati has no interceptions and 19 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 11.0
Cincinnati has no interceptions (83 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 45.8
Cincinnati has no interceptions (83 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.9
Cincinnati has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 22 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Cincinnati has allowed 4.0 touchdowns per interception (12 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.5
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