Wisconsin vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:16 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Wisconsin Badgers (3-4) visit Ryan Field to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (1-5) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Evanston.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Wisconsin vs. Northwestern is total points.

Bet now on Northwestern vs Wisconsin & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Wisconsin vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wisconsin
Northwestern

Wisconsin vs Northwestern Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 60.2% confidence.

Wisconsin vs Northwestern Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 74.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Northwestern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Chimere Dike has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Northwestern Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northwestern players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Hull has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.08 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Wisconsin are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Wisconsin are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Wisconsin are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Northwestern are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Northwestern are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Northwestern are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Wisconsin is undefeated (6-0) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .477

Wisconsin is undefeated (9-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .530

Wisconsin is undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .513

Wisconsin is undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Northwestern is winless (0-10) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436

Northwestern is winless (0-6) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Northwestern is winless (0-11) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .303

Northwestern is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .280

Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Northwestern

Northwestern’s receiving corps has 9 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among Power 5 WR corps. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 10 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fewest among P5 defenses.

Northwestern’s receiving corps has 4 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-fewest among Power 5 WR corps. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 4 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-fewest among FBS defenses.

Northwestern’s receiving corps has 9 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among Power 5 WR corps. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 10 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fewest among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s receiving corps has gained 657 yards on 37 receptions (17.8 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 WR corps. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s receiving corps has gained 657 yards on 37 receptions (17.8 YPR) this season — fifth-best among FBS WR corps. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 987 yards on 65 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — third-best among Power 5 skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin’s receiving corps has gained 657 yards on 37 receptions (17.8 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 WR corps. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 13.4 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin RBs have rushed for 1,028 yards in the 1st quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Wisconsin RBs have averaged 202.4 rushing yards per game (3,441/17) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 133.2

Wisconsin QBs have 6 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Wisconsin WRs have no touchdowns on 14 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern RBs have been targeted 13.7 times per game (41/3) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Northwestern Skill Players have averaged 18.3 receptions per game (55/3) in the 2nd half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.7

Northwestern RBs have averaged 7.3 receptions per game (22/3) in the 2nd half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 1.5

Northwestern Skill Players have averaged 18.3 receptions per game (55/3) in the 2nd half this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.0

Northwestern RBs have 22 receptions in the 2nd half this season– most among FBS Teams

Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 45.3 Passing Attempts per TD (453 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.0

Wisconsin has allowed one passing TD (105 pass attempts) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 21.5

Wisconsin has tackled opponents for a loss on 121 of 523 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 45.3 Passing Attempts per TD (453 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21.8

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 8.5 Passing Attempts per TD (34 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 22% (2 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Northwestern has allowed first downs on 14% of pass attempts in close and late situations since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 31%

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 22% (2 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 54%

Northwestern has allowed first downs on 14% of pass attempts in close and late situations since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 31%

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (4 completions/16 attempts) in close and late situations this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 57%


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Northwestern vs Wisconsin and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.