Astros vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 6

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2023, 11:50 AM
  • The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Astros
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown, 9.00 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty, ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Houston Astros (-105) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Jupiter.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Astros vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Astros are 4-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 5-3 ATS.

Astros vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -185O 9 -120-105
Cardinals -1.5 +150U 9 +100-115

Astros vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Astros vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jason Castro has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+33.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 100 of their last 173 games (+31.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 162 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 110 of their last 159 games (+28.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 156 games (+18.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 5-2 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 34.88% ROI).

  • 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 32.12% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -46.54% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 38.26% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 5-3 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 34.97% ROI).

  • 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 4.52% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -15.64% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 9.25% ROI

Hunter Brown has pitched 16.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.

Hunter Brown has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (22/36) against Hunter Brown over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 11% (4/36) versus Hunter Brown over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Flaherty had a strike rate of just 59% (230/391) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Jack Flaherty walked 12 of 102 batters (12%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.

Jack Flaherty had a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (56/102) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 63% — ninth Percentile.

Hitters swung at 43% of Jack Flaherty’s pitches (170/391) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Astros are 65-4 (.942) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Astros are 49-7 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Astros are 47-5 (.904) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Astros are 86-8 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Cardinals are 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 2,401 strikeouts in 12,345 PA’s (19%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers had an ERA of 2.73 (734.0 IP) at home last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 392.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
  • Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Astros vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.