- The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown, 9.00 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty, – ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Houston Astros (-105) visit Roger Dean Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Monday, March 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Jupiter.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Astros vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Astros are 4-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 5-3 ATS.
Astros vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -120 | -105 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | U 9 +100 | -115 |
Astros vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 61.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jason Castro has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+33.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 100 of their last 173 games (+31.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 162 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 110 of their last 159 games (+28.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 156 games (+18.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games at home (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+13.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 5-2 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 34.88% ROI).
- 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 32.12% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -46.54% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 38.26% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 5-3 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 34.97% ROI).
- 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 4.52% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -15.64% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 9.25% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has pitched 16.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.
Hunter Brown has not allowed a home run in any of the last 24.0 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (22/36) against Hunter Brown over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 11% (4/36) versus Hunter Brown over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty had a strike rate of just 59% (230/391) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Jack Flaherty walked 12 of 102 batters (12%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — tied for 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Jack Flaherty had a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (56/102) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 63% — ninth Percentile.
Hitters swung at 43% of Jack Flaherty’s pitches (170/391) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Astros are 65-4 (.942) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Astros are 49-7 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Astros are 47-5 (.904) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Astros are 86-8 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 47-11 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cardinals are 49-9 (.845) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Cardinals are 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 2,401 strikeouts in 12,345 PA’s (19%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 2.73 (734.0 IP) at home last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 392.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
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