- The Astros are -110 favorites vs the Cubs
- Astros vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | SCHN
The Houston Astros (-105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-115) on Wednesday, April 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Astros are 7-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 16-6 ATS.
Astros vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 0-2, 11.58 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 1-0, 1.80 ERA
Astros vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Astros | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -110 | -105 |
Cubs | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -110 | -115 |
Astros vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 away games (+20.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 8-16 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 16-6 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Cubs vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Matt Mervis (CHC) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cubs vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has limited playing time.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 19 of 745 right-handed batters (3%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.5 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season (148 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 89.9
Jameson Taillon has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (474/673) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 9 of 337 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 62-43 (.590) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Astros are 42-25 (.627) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Astros are 105-68 (.607) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Cubs are 22-18 (.550) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Cubs are 53-31 (.631) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Cubs are just 13-26 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Cubs are just 21-27 (.438) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 698 strikeouts in 3,953 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 377 strikeouts in 2,103 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 43% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .867 (184 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Cubs are batting .270 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Cubs are batting just .181 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Cubs hitters are slugging .506 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 6.51 (105.0 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Cubs pitchers this season traveled 460.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 441.8
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .230 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Cubs pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.18 (99.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Cubs vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
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