- The Red Sox are -190 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Athletics / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-190) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Athletics are 34-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 43-47 ATS.
Athletics vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 5-7, 4.76 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 4-5, 4.07 ERA
Athletics vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -120 | O 10 -120 | +155 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +100 | U 10 +100 | -190 |
Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+24.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.65 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+14.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+6.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 90 games (+5.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 46-47 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -9.14% ROI).
- 34-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -12.6% ROI
- 41-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -12.92% ROI
- 49-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 3.06% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 43-47 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -7.99% ROI).
- 50-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 5.71% ROI
- 44-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.51% ROI
- 41-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -7.24% ROI
Red Sox vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Red Sox vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
| JP Sears (OAK) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 16% (17 SO in 105 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
JP Sears has struck out just 15% (48/318) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 17% (68 SO in 408 PAs) this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 15% (24 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Nick Pivetta this month (1 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Nick Pivetta over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 43% (10 SO in 23 PAs) this month (1 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 38% (36 SO in 96 PAs) in late innings since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Athletics are just 139-226 (.381) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Athletics are just 9-26 (.257) after a road loss this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Athletics are just 80-176 (.312) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Red Sox are 18-10 (.643) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Red Sox are just 52-168 (.236) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Red Sox are 171-12 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Red Sox are just 44-70 (.386) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .203 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Athletics are batting just .221 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Athletics are batting just .213 against division opponents since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Athletics are batting just .224 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 281 strikeouts in 970 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .433 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .755 (2,494 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .755 (7,090 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% against Athletics pitchers this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 235 of 3,379 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have 413 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — tied for 5th most in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.26 (405.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 50 of 809 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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