Blue Jays vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 04, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (44-36) are -250 favorites vs the Athletics (26-55)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (9-2), 2.09 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (2-6), 3.58 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Toronto Blue Jays (-250) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+200) on Monday, July 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).

The Blue Jays vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 44-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 38-43 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-2.5 +110O 7.5 -110-250
Athletics +2.5 -135U 7.5 -110+200

Blue Jays vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+8.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 17 away games (+7.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+8.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jonah Bride has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Athletics vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Nick Allen 0.5 +1250 0.5
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Sean Murphy 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Seth Brown 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Athletics vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Nick Allen 0.5 -115 0.5 -125
Ramon Laureano 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Sean Murphy 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Seth Brown 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Athletics vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Nick Allen 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Ramon Laureano 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Sean Murphy 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Seth Brown 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Athletics vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cole Irvin 3.5 -145 3.5 +100
Alek Manoah 5.5 -160 5.5 +115
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 39 games (+20.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 38 games (+18.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 away games (+3.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 away games (+2.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 72 games (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 35-45 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -12.86% ROI).

  • 44-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -7.39% ROI
  • 44-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 5.82% ROI
  • 35-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.2 Units / -15.99% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 38-43 against the Run Line (-16 Units / -14.79% ROI).

  • 26-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -25.59% ROI
  • 34-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -14.36% ROI
  • 42-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 5.13% ROI

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .191 (183 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .152 (26-for-171) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has walked 5 of 183 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .154 (57-for-370) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 72% (520/719) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (133/704) against Cole Irvin since the start of last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .489 (45 Total Bases / 92 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.

Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 11% (21 SO in 198 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Blue Jays are 35-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Blue Jays are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .920.

The Blue Jays are 25-18 (.581) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Blue Jays are 35-9 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Athletics are just 18-8 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Athletics are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .920.

The Athletics are just 8-29 (.216) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Athletics are just 26-47 (.356) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .679 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,902 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Athletics are batting just .197 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .268 (2,038 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .591 (2,038 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 217 of 3,014 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

The Athletics have won just 9% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 12% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Athletics pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Athletics vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Francelis Montas (Athletics): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Jed Lowrie (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Jonah Bride (Athletics): Shoulder, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Yimi García (Blue Jays): Back, D15
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
  • Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Ankle, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.