- The Blue Jays (50-43) are -120 favorites vs the Red Sox (48-45)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (6-7), 2.87 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi (4-2), 3.34 ERA
- Watch the game on NESN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+100) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 50-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 50-43 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -105 | -120 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -115 | +100 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+14.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 away games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 away games (+10.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.60 Units / 88% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bobby Dalbec has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games at home (+9.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -160 |
| Gausman | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 51 games (+21.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 73 games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 59 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 64 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 39-54 against the Run Line (-19.65 Units / -17.21% ROI).
- 50-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -10.57% ROI
- 49-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 1.43% ROI
- 43-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -11.46% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 50-43 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 6.54% ROI).
- 48-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -2.43% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -5.18% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.46% ROI
Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 42% (321/768) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 34% (156/453) against Kevin Gausman in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 72% (432/596) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 57% of Kevin Gausman’s pitches (852/1,501) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of .619 (52 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .364 — first Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 3 of 191 batters (2%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 69% (2,810/4,068) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strike rate of 72% (483/670) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 40-11 (.784) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Blue Jays are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Blue Jays are 38-1 (.974) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Blue Jays are 41-2 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 133-19 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Red Sox are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Red Sox are just 38-7 (.844) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Red Sox are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .668 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .337 (927 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Red Sox are batting .266 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Red Sox are batting .264 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 17 of 346 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (10 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 245 of 3,460 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.84 (96.0 IP) over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (2,328 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Richard Hill (Red Sox): Knee, D15
- Connor Seabold (Red Sox): Forearm, D15
- Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, D15
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Groin, D10
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Joshua Winckowski (Red Sox): COVID-19, D15
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.