- The Blue Jays are +100 favorites vs the Twins
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo López
- Watch this Wild Card game on ESPN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-120) on Tuesday, October 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:38pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Blue Jays vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 89-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 82-80 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -115 | +100 |
| Twins | +1.5 -210 | U 7.5 -105 | -120 |
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 away games (+11.30 Units / 188% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+10.70 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 46% ROI)
Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
| Pablo Lopez | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 away games (+9.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.66 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 away games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 71 games (+16.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+13.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+3.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 75-87 against the Run Line (-13.9 Units / -6.93% ROI).
- 89-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.6 Units / -5.33% ROI
- 72-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.25 Units / -10.3% ROI
- 83-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 1.95% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 82-80 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 0.53% ROI).
- 87-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -5.5% ROI
- 82-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.5% ROI
- 75-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.95 Units / -7.87% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Blue Jays are 158-36 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Blue Jays are 12-7 (.632) after a loss as underdogs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Blue Jays are 34-52 (.395) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Twins are 16-49 (.246) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Blue Jays are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .716 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters have 1,654 strikeouts in 6,219 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Twins hitters are slugging just .242 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 197 of 2,911 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.90 (706.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 37% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Dallas Keuchel (Twins): Calf, D15
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jovani Moran (Twins): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Back, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Foot, D10
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
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