- The Braves are -125 favorites vs the Reds
- Braves vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Reds TV Channel: BSSO | BSOH
The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+120) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Braves are 81-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 85-66 ATS.
Braves vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 2-1, 3.79 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson 0-0, 2.08 ERA
Braves vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | O 9 -115 | -145 |
| Reds | +1.5 -140 | U 9 -105 | +120 |
Braves vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 34 games (+23.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 47 games (+17.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+12.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+11.15 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 36 games (+27.95 Units / 78% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 136 games (+35.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 away games (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.30 Units / 48% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+15.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 133 games (+14.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 64 games at home (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 69-81 against the Run Line (-15.9 Units / -8.72% ROI).
- 81-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.8 Units / -9.4% ROI
- 56-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -40.8 Units / -24.92% ROI
- 89-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.2 Units / 16.34% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 85-66 against the Run Line (+10.4 Units / 5.17% ROI).
- 73-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 70-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -6.65% ROI
- 73-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -2.48% ROI
Reds vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Williamson (CIN) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .667 (10 GB hits out of 15 GBs) against Grant Holmes with runners in scoring position this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .259 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Grant Holmes over the last 14 days — highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .213 — first Percentile.
Grant Holmes has walked 5 of 121 right-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 12th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 8% — 89th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .303 (30-for-99) against Grant Holmes this season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 16% (8/50) against Brandon Williamson on the first pitch of at-bats this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 0 Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 16 double plays in 91 opportunities (18%) since last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .059 against Brandon Williamson this month (3 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (21/104) against Brandon Williamson this month (3 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 65-46 (.586) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Braves are 37-86 (.301) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Braves are 85-39 (.685) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are just 13-26 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 34-37 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 21-31 (.404) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .478 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (883/11,855) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
The Braves had an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Braves have an average Exit Velocity of 90.5 MPH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .153 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Reds are batting just .227 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Reds are batting just .134 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have walked 79 of 1,341 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .293 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 4.74 (2150.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Reds vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
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