- The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Brewers vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Dodgers TV Channel: FOX
The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Brewers are 52-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 44-45 ATS.
Brewers vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 6-4, 3.86 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 7-2, 4.34 ERA
Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 89 games (+12.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 89 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 85 games (+9.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 89 games (+6.69 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 61 games (+5.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games at home (+1.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 46-43 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.09% ROI).
- 52-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.5 Units / 11.24% ROI
- 47-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 7.09% ROI
- 37-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -14.93% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 44-45 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -6.64% ROI).
- 54-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -5.94% ROI
- 46-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.36% ROI
- 42-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -8.71% ROI
Dodgers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Dodgers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| James Paxton (LAD) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .198 (76-for-384) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .115 (22-for-192) against Freddy Peralta with two-strikes this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (23-for-138) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 95th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 55% (120 SO in 217 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton has walked 36 of 279 right-handed batters (13%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .471 (8 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against James Paxton with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
James Paxton has a strikeout rate of just 30% (53 SO in 174 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 20 of 126 batters (16%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Brewers are 12-24 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Brewers are 38-3 (.927) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Brewers are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Brewers are 106-75 (.586) after a loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Dodgers are 51-20 (.718) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 262-123 (.681) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Dodgers are 67-29 (.698) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,595 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .289 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,501 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (11,533 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (11,533 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Dodgers are batting .364 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.78 (1125.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 43% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,128 of 15,170 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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