Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
  • The Brewers are -175 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSMW | MLBN

The St. Louis Cardinals (+145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Monday, September 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Cardinals are 69-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 72-65 ATS.

Cardinals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 6-6, 3.76 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 9-7, 3.72 ERA

Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -155O 7.5 -115+145
Brewers -1.5 +125U 7.5 -105-175

Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 42 games (+27.50 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+13.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+12.45 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 45 games (+23.45 Units / 52% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+17.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+15.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+14.25 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 133 games (+15.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 80 of their last 137 games (+15.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games at home (+12.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 77 of their last 137 games (+11.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 77 of their last 137 games (+8.24 Units / 5% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 69-68 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -3.02% ROI).

  • 69-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -5.39% ROI
  • 65-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -6.15% ROI
  • 67-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -3.21% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 72-65 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 2.35% ROI).

  • 80-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.2 Units / 8.81% ROI
  • 73-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.45 Units / 8.99% ROI
  • 55-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.6 Units / -16.86% ROI

Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Gary Sanchez (MIL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddy Peralta (MIL) 5.5 -145 5.5 +110
Andre Pallante (STL) 4.5 -105 4.5 -120

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (121/180) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (571/854) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (177/285) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (205/268) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (503/859) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .207 (96-for-463) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 30% (155 SO in 512 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 61% (1,584/2,588) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are 19-13 (.594) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Cardinals are just 14-120 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Cardinals are 20-14 (.588) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Brewers are 35-76 (.315) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Brewers are 46-3 (.939) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Brewers are 137-10 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Brewers are 67-19 (.779) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .696.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .691 (3,084 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,524 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Cardinals are batting .163 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .334 (1,298 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Brewers are batting just .240 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,677/17,449 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Brewers pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.68 (2662.1 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.