Cardinals vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Cardinals vs Mariners Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 8-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 9-12 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +145O 9 -115-110
Mariners +1.5 -175U 9 -105-110

Cardinals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 79.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Cardinals vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+6.15 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Taylor Motter has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.45 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 51% ROI)

Mariners vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Kolten Wong 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Mariners vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Kolten Wong 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -155 0.5 +120

Mariners vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Kolten Wong 0.5 +260 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jack Flaherty 5.5 -105 5.5 -125
Chris Flexen 4.5 +120 4.5 -160
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.05 Units / 13% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -18.77% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -31.89% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -13.38% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 3.62% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 9-12 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -12.84% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -13.47% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 4.27% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -13.54% ROI

Jack Flaherty has walked 17 of 87 batters (20%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has walked 9 of 39 right-handed batters (23%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 77% (17/22) against Jack Flaherty in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 57% (208/364) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 49% (17/35) against Chris Flexen when he’s behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has located his fastball away 65% of the time (84/130) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.

Chris Flexen has located his pitches away 64% of the time (198/309) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 19-4 (.826) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 5-2 (.714) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Cardinals are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Mariners are 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Mariners are just 2-6 (.250) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Mariners are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.

The Mariners are just 0-8 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .474 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .556 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .821 (1,505 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Cardinals are batting .261 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Mariners are batting just .266 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .266 (188 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mariners pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 11 of 219 batters (5%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 31 of 458 batters (7%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
  • Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
  • Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
  • Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15

Bet now on Cardinals vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.