- The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Reds
- Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cardinals are 60-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 68-52 ATS.
Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 7-4, 3.98 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Emilio Pagan 2-3, 4.22 ERA
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -120 | -115 |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 +100 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+18.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kyle Gibson has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 9 away games (+9.50 Units / 85% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 33 games (+26.10 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+16.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 62 away games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+1.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 102 games (+14.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+11.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 104 games (+10.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games at home (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 70 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 58-62 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -6.19% ROI).
- 60-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -7.77% ROI
- 57-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -5.46% ROI
- 58-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -3.7% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 68-52 against the Run Line (+10.15 Units / 6.37% ROI).
- 59-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -2.74% ROI
- 54-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -10.52% ROI
- 61-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 0.99% ROI
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 56% (267/480) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has walked 21 of 126 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 58% (632/1,094) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of just 18% (87 SO in 495 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .163 against Emilio Pagan vs right-handed batters last season — fourth best among qualified RPs– 96th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .270 (37-for-137) against him in the 2022 season — tied for 13th worst among qualified RPs– 13th Percentile.
Emilio Pagan allowed a just .284 SLG vs right-handed batters last season — 10th best among qualified RPs– 90th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .555 vs right-handed batters in the 2022 season — second worst among qualified RPs– first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (45/162) against Emilio Pagan since the 2022 season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
Emilio Pagan has allowed an OBP of just .224 (152 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .307 — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are just 57-73 (.438) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Cardinals are just 56-62 (.475) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 31-34 (.477) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 62-57 (.521) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Reds are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,394 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Cardinals are just 42-66 (.378) against the run line (-30.3% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals hitters have 95 extra-base hits out of 378 total hits (just 25%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .113 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Reds hitters are slugging just .148 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Reds hitters have 41 strikeouts in 111 PA’s (37%) against LHP this month (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,593 of 17,003 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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