- The Mariners are -140 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Mariners TV Channel: MARQ | RTNW | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Cubs are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 4-9 ATS.
Cubs vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 1-0, 1.64 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-3, 6.76 ERA
Cubs vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -115 | -140 |
Cubs vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Miguel Amaya has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Kyle Hendricks has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Miguel Amaya has hit the Total Bases Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Dominic Canzone has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 8-4 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 14.57% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 18.83% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 27.82% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -35.11% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 4-9 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -39.62% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -28.57% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -17.44% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 9.59% ROI
Mariners vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mariners vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (148/318) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Javier Assad threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (174/387) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Javier Assad had a strike rate of just 61% (530/874) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 6th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (26/135) against Javier Assad on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among in NL; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .310 (13-for-42) against Luis Castillo with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .474 (18-for-38) against Luis Castillo this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .352 (25-for-71) against Luis Castillo this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed a slugging percentage of .763 (29 Total Bases / 38 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — third Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Cubs are just 34-38 (.472) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Cubs are 20-18 (.526) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Mariners are 52-37 (.584) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Mariners are 10-135 (.069) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mariners are 143-6 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 68-14 (.829) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .474 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .796 (87 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
The Cubs batted .287 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .383 (235 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .679 (87 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.081.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .566 (390 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have 122 strikeouts in 390 PA’s (31%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 37 of 563 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 905 of 12,555 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
