Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 26

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Seattle Mariners' J.P. Crawford follows through during an at-bat a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 26, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Diamondbacks vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | DBTV | ESPN+ | MLBN

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+110) on Friday, April 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 12-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 11-14 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 3-1, 3.00 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 2-2, 6.20 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +135O 7.5 -105-130
Mariners +1.5 -165U 7.5 -115+110

Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Blaze Alexander has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.60 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 80% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games (+12.65 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.65 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 70 away games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 13-13 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.68% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -13.56% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -8.33% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.35% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 11-14 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -12.88% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -8.85% ROI
  • 6-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -48.11% ROI
  • 17-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.3 Units / 39.02% ROI

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +320 0.5 -500
Mitch Garver (SEA) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Mitch Haniger (SEA) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Gabriel Moreno (ARI) 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Mariners vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 40% (46/114) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 40% (46/114) this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

20 of Zac Gallen’s 32 strikeouts (62%) have come on curveballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .610 (351 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .690 — 96th Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (5/27) against Emerson Hancock in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Emerson Hancock has not walked any of the 22 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .268 (11-for-41) against Emerson Hancock with two-strikes this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .166 — fourth Percentile.

Emerson Hancock has not allowed a walk in his last 61 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 9th, 2023 — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 100.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Diamondbacks are just 128-23 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Diamondbacks are just 81-9 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Diamondbacks are just 60-39 (.606) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Diamondbacks are just 144-15 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Mariners are 88-13 (.871) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

The Mariners are 46-6 (.885) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Mariners are 48-7 (.873) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

The Mariners are 88-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Diamondbacks are batting .316 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .494 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .383.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .417 (115 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .334.

Diamondbacks hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .171 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Mariners hitters have 201 strikeouts in 700 PA’s (29%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 58 of 904 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 202 of 3,128 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 10 of 224 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.