The San Francisco Giants (+120) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the San Diego Padres (-145) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 8:40pm EST in Peoria, AZ.
This season, the Giants are 2-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 5-6 ATS.
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Giants | +120 |
| Padres | -145 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+4.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.45 Units / 74% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 76% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 68% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Giants are 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.04 Units / -17.32% ROI).
- 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.96 Units / -44.88% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 34.01% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.82 Units / -43.35% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Padres are 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -12.9% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.56 Units / 4.08% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -28.44% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.63 Units / 21.01% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mason Black is making his MLB debut today.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish threw his slider 49% of the time (227/464) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has an average spin rate of 2764.4 RPM on sliders since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents batted .455 (30-for-66) against Yu Darvish on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .350 — third Percentile.
Yu Darvish threw breaking pitches 54% of the time (252/464) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 130-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are just 24-44 (.353) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Giants are 31-32 (.492) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Giants were 65-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres were just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Padres are 48-7 (.873) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres were just 2-13 (-73.5% ROI) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres hitters had a swing rate of just 44% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters had an OBP of .343 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers walked 87 of 1,439 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 130 double plays in 1,059 opportunities (12%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,898 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% against the Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .197 against Padres pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Manny Machado (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, Out
- Gary Sanchez (San Diego Padres): Hand, Out
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, Out
- Jung Hoo Lee (San Francisco Giants): Side, Day-To-Day
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marco Luciano (San Francisco Giants): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Keaton Winn (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, Out
- Mark Mathias (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
- Kai-Wei Teng (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, Out
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Out
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