- The are + favorites vs the
- Giants vs Red Sox Over / Under today: Runs
- Giants / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Giants are 14-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 17-13 ATS.
Giants vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 1-1, 1.35 ERA
Giants vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | O -110 | +105 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +155 | U -110 | -125 |
Giants vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+19.40 Units / 149% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Wong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+16.50 Units / 165% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+16.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+14.60 Units / 146% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+10.55 Units / 44% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 14-16 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -6.8% ROI).
- 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -16.23% ROI
- 14-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -7.49% ROI
- 15-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -1.95% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 17-13 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 3.67% ROI).
- 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 10.68% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -10.33% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 1.96% ROI
Red Sox vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Red Sox vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Red Sox vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Red Sox vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Walker has 7 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among NL Relievers — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Walker has walked 1 of 30 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 15th best among among 108 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 87th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Ryan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 8th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .327 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (35/87) against Ryan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 7th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 30% — 93rd Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .417 (10-for-24) against Kutter Crawford with two-strikes over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .165 — first Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (31 Total Bases / 124 ABs) this season — 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .383 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (2-for-15) against Kutter Crawford on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — 98th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .136 (18-for-132) against Kutter Crawford since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Giants are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Giants are just 36-62 (.367) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Giants are just 21-27 (.438) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Giants are 78-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Red Sox are just 20-32 (.385) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Red Sox are just 1-84 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Red Sox are 75-7 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Red Sox are just 41-53 (.436) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .401 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Giants are batting just .242 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Giants hitters have 998 strikeouts in 4,056 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .291 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Red Sox hitters have 85 strikeouts in 289 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of 1.375 (199 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.066.
The Red Sox are batting .273 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Giants pitchers have walked 100 of 1,701 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 1.77 (142.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Red Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Red Sox have allowed 2.38 runs per game (38/16) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 12 of 272 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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