Guardians vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Guardians are -130 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Guardians vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
  • Guardians / Rockies TV Channel: BSGL | ROTV

The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Guardians are 36-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 28-24 ATS.

Guardians vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry 0-0, 1.93 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 1-2, 2.80 ERA

Guardians vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 +120O 10.5 +100-130
Rockies +1.5 -145U 10.5 -120+110

Guardians vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Guardians vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 31 games (+32.20 Units / 104% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+17.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+10.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+28.50 Units / 285% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+15.40 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 24 games at home (+10.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+16.82 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 away games (+7.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+11.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+10.35 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 52% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 31-22 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 20.51% ROI).

  • 36-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.82 Units / 24.62% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.77% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -7.52% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 28-24 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.78% ROI).

  • 18-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -8.9% ROI
  • 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -2.32% ROI
  • 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -6.14% ROI

Rockies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Kris Bryant (COL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Kyle Manzardo (CLE) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Rockies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jake Cave (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Kris Bryant (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
David Fry (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Gabriel Arias (CLE) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Rockies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165

Rockies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Xzavion Curry (CLE) 2.5 -150 2.5 +115
Austin Gomber (COL) 4.5 +145 4.5 -190

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (54/202) against Xzavion Curry since the 2022 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 33% (75 SO in 226 PAs) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Xzavion Curry has struck out just 14% (32/233) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 21% (22 SO in 107 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 38% — third Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .182 (6-for-33) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .320 — 93rd Percentile.

Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 16% (14 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 10th Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of just .258 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .635 — 97th Percentile.

Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 21% (17 SO in 81 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 11th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Guardians are 25-135 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Guardians are 13-75 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Guardians are 36-128 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Guardians are just 12-17 (.414) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rockies are just 54-26 (.675) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies are just 43-29 (.597) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Rockies are just 20-18 (.526) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies are just 67-9 (.882) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

Guardians hitters have just 1,865 strikeouts in 10,205 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Guardians have an average HR distance of 382.1 feet this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 395.9.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.

Rockies hitters have chased 33% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Guardians pitchers have walked 5 of 213 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (24 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
  • Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
  • Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
  • Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
  • James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

Bet now on Guardians vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.