Guardians vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 27, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Guardians are -130 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Guardians vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
  • Guardians / Rockies TV Channel: BSGL | ROTV

The Cleveland Guardians (-130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Guardians are 36-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 28-24 ATS.

Guardians vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry 0-0, 1.93 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 1-2, 2.80 ERA

Guardians vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-1.5 +120O 10.5 +100-130
Rockies +1.5 -145U 10.5 -120+110

Guardians vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 31 games (+32.20 Units / 104% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+17.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 away games (+10.75 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+28.50 Units / 285% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+15.40 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 24 games at home (+10.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+16.82 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 away games (+7.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+11.15 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+10.35 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 52% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 31-22 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 20.51% ROI).

  • 36-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.82 Units / 24.62% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.77% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -7.52% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 28-24 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.78% ROI).

  • 18-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -8.9% ROI
  • 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -2.32% ROI
  • 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -6.14% ROI

Rockies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Kris Bryant (COL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Kyle Manzardo (CLE) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Rockies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jake Cave (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Kris Bryant (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
David Fry (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Gabriel Arias (CLE) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Rockies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 -115 0.5 -115
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165

Rockies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Xzavion Curry (CLE) 2.5 -150 2.5 +115
Austin Gomber (COL) 4.5 +145 4.5 -190

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (54/202) against Xzavion Curry since the 2022 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 33% (75 SO in 226 PAs) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Xzavion Curry has struck out just 14% (32/233) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Xzavion Curry has a strikeout rate of just 21% (22 SO in 107 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 38% — third Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .182 (6-for-33) against Austin Gomber on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .320 — 93rd Percentile.

Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 16% (14 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 10th Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of just .258 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .635 — 97th Percentile.

Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 21% (17 SO in 81 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 11th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Guardians are 25-135 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Guardians are 13-75 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Guardians are 36-128 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Guardians are just 12-17 (.414) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rockies are just 54-26 (.675) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies are just 43-29 (.597) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Rockies are just 20-18 (.526) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies are just 67-9 (.882) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.

Guardians hitters have just 1,865 strikeouts in 10,205 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Guardians have an average HR distance of 382.1 feet this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 395.9.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.

Rockies hitters have chased 33% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Guardians pitchers have walked 5 of 213 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (24 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
  • Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
  • Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
  • Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
  • Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
  • James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.