- The Guardians (40-38) are -155 favorites vs the Tigers (32-47)
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (4-4), 3.72 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (0-4), 4.80 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Cleveland Guardians (-155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+125) on Tuesday, July 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 40-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 37-42 ATS.
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -105 | -155 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -125 | U 9 -115 | +125 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 63.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +110 | 1.5 -155 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Naylor | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Hutchinson | 1.5 -200 | 1.5 +140 |
| Cal Quantrill | 3.5 -185 | 3.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 59 games (+8.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 47 games (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 38 games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+21.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+5.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 47 games (+1.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 40-38 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -1.02% ROI).
- 40-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 3.67% ROI
- 35-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.05 Units / -7.01% ROI
- 37-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -1.63% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 37-42 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -9.06% ROI).
- 32-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -10.16% ROI
- 26-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.45 Units / -30.4% ROI
- 48-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.9 Units / 22.81% ROI
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 14% (50/367) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (51 SO in 169 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 71 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (109/633) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 25-1 (.962) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Guardians are 27-3 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Guardians are 24-2 (.923) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Guardians are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .920.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 2-34 (.056) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Tigers are just 2-21 (.087) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Tigers are just 7-23 (.233) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Tigers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 549 strikeouts in 2,927 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .612 (880 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Guardians are batting just .221 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers have scored 3.04 runs per game (240/79) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Tigers hitters have 397 strikeouts in 1,361 PA’s (29%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .319 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (2,817 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.4 MPH (1,870 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed 180 barreled balls this season — most in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 63 of 694 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Hedges (Guardians): Concussion, D7
- Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15
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