- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians starting pitcher: –, – ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes, 3.60 ERA
- Watch the game on TBS
The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Tuesday, October 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Bronx for this postseason game.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Guardians vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 96-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 74-92 ATS.
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -160 | O 7 -120 | +145 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +130 | U 7 +100 | -175 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 37 away games (+14.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 40 of his last 62 games (+13.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Hedges has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games at home (+9.75 Units / 81% ROI)
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Gabriel Arias | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Gabriel Arias | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -120 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gabriel Arias | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +105 |
| Aaron Civale | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 149 games (+27.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 40 away games (+16.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 away games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 60 away games (+12.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 77 games at home (+15.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 88-80 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 2.51% ROI).
- 96-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.15 Units / 10.43% ROI
- 76-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -7.62% ROI
- 82-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -0.89% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 74-92 against the Run Line (-20.05 Units / -10.4% ROI).
- 101-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -0.46% ROI
- 77-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.2 Units / -7.79% ROI
- 83-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -1.14% ROI
–: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has 5 three-pitch strikeouts this month (1 games) — tied for most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has walked 1 of 63 batters (2%) — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed an OBP of just .143 (28 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .284 — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Civale’s K:BB ratio is 21.0 (21/1) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.4 — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .113 (8-for-71) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .276 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .162 (72-for-444) against Nestor Cortes’ fastball since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (13-for-110) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .272 — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has a strikeout rate of 50% (12 SO in 24 PAs) this month (1 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 14-9 (.609) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 21-122 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 795 strikeouts in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,122 strikeouts in 6,163 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .343 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 458 walks in 4,623 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 351 walks in 3,449 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 25 of 480 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shin, D15
- Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
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