Mariners vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 19

min read
Oakland Athletics' Tony Kemp plays during a baseball game, Wednesday, July 5, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Seattle Mariners (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+180) on Tuesday, September 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mariners are 82-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 73-77 ATS.

Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 -120O 7.5 -115-225
Athletics +1.5 +100U 7.5 -105+180

Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 81.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Mariners vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+11.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+12.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.90 Units / 37% ROI)

Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 +1050 0.5
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Lawrence Butler 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Seth Brown 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Nick Allen 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Lawrence Butler 0.5 -110 0.5 -120

Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Rojas 0.5 +310 0.5 -450
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Nick Allen 0.5 +450 0.5 -700
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Lawrence Butler 0.5 +310 0.5 -450

Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Castillo 7.5 +100 7.5 -135
Paul Blackburn 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+14.69 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 away games (+14.17 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 74 games (+12.69 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 81 of their last 136 games (+18.73 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 89 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 72 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 90 games (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.74 Units / 18% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 71-79 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -6.72% ROI).

  • 82-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -3.13% ROI
  • 75-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.11% ROI
  • 70-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -7.15% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 73-77 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -5.02% ROI).

  • 46-104 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.35 Units / -18.81% ROI
  • 77-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.23% ROI
  • 67-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -17 Units / -10.39% ROI

Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .266 (730 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 97th Percentile.

Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .243 (329 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (473/1,523) against Luis Castillo this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .107 (17-for-159) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (50/146) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (22/178) against Paul Blackburn on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has a strike rate of just 55% (684/1,247) when ahead in the count since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has a strike rate of just 59% (591/993) in two strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are 12-7 (.632) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .438.

The Mariners are 43-5 (.896) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Mariners are 30-29 (.508) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Mariners are 83-12 (.874) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.

The Athletics are just 12-51 (.190) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

The Athletics are just 24-51 (.320) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Athletics are just 83-60 (.580) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Mariners are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

The Mariners are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .176 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

team hitters – home

Opponents have a swing rate of 51% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 381 of 5,567 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 183 of 2,808 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 88 of 1,350 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 647 of 5,927 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.12 (626.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.55 (1315.2 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.

Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
  • Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Pruitt (Athletics): Forearm, D15
  • Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Sean Newcomb (Athletics): Knee, D15
  • Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D60
  • Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
  • Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
  • Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
  • William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60

Bet now on Mariners vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.