- The Mariners are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Seattle Mariners (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+180) on Tuesday, September 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 82-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 73-77 ATS.
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 -120 | O 7.5 -115 | -225 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +100 | U 7.5 -105 | +180 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 81.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+11.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.95 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+12.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.90 Units / 37% ROI)
Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -135 |
| Paul Blackburn | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+14.69 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 away games (+14.17 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 74 games (+12.69 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 81 of their last 136 games (+18.73 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 89 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 72 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 90 games (+5.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.74 Units / 18% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 71-79 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -6.72% ROI).
- 82-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -3.13% ROI
- 75-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.11% ROI
- 70-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -7.15% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 73-77 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -5.02% ROI).
- 46-104 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.35 Units / -18.81% ROI
- 77-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.23% ROI
- 67-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -17 Units / -10.39% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .266 (730 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .243 (329 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (473/1,523) against Luis Castillo this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .107 (17-for-159) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (50/146) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (22/178) against Paul Blackburn on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has a strike rate of just 55% (684/1,247) when ahead in the count since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has a strike rate of just 59% (591/993) in two strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 12-7 (.632) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
The Mariners are 43-5 (.896) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Mariners are 30-29 (.508) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Mariners are 83-12 (.874) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Athletics are just 12-51 (.190) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
The Athletics are just 24-51 (.320) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Athletics are just 83-60 (.580) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Mariners are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .176 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 51% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 381 of 5,567 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 183 of 2,808 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 88 of 1,350 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 647 of 5,927 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.12 (626.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.55 (1315.2 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Felipe (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Richard Lovelady (Athletics): Arm, D60
- James Kaprielian (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Pruitt (Athletics): Forearm, D15
- Jeffrey Bleday (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Sean Newcomb (Athletics): Knee, D15
- Yacksel Ríos (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Calf, D60
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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