Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 18

min read
Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the ninth inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2024, 1:40 PM
  • Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: BSSW | MLBN

The Seattle Mariners (+130) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-155) on Monday, March 18, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Surprise, AZ.

This season, the Mariners are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 10-10 ATS.

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Mariners+130
Rangers -155

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Cooper Hummel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 7-6 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 2.98% ROI).

  • 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.96 Units / -30.23% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.51 Units / 31.23% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -41.31% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 10-10 against the Run Line (-0.32 Units / -1.23% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.51 Units / -6.22% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.57 Units / -11.83% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.41 Units / 6.32% ROI

Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth-best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season (tied for sixth-worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed a just .315 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth-best)– 93rd Percentile and .558 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season (sixth-worst among non-qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.

Bryce Miller had a strike rate of 71% (460/648) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.

Bryce Miller threw fastballs 70% of the time (770/1,102) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are 84-13 (.866) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Mariners are 83-27 (.755) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers are just 75-51 (.595) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters struck out 422 times in 1,624 PA’s (26%) against LHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters pulled 50% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .567 (3,336 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .346 (1,624 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Mariners allowed 3.86 runs per game (313/81) at home in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.64.

The Rangers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 46% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
  • Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out

Bet now on Mariners vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.