- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Cubs TV Channel: SNY | MARQ | MLBN
The New York Mets (+125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-150) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Mets are 35-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 36-39 ATS.
Mets vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 2-5, 4.94 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 7-1, 1.90 ERA
Mets vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -160 | O 8 -105 | +125 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -115 | -150 |
Mets vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+17.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 36 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 33 games (+22.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games (+17.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 33 games (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 away games (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 away games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games at home (+3.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 34-39 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -7.96% ROI).
- 35-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -6.01% ROI
- 36-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.51% ROI
- 33-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -7.46% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 36-39 against the Run Line (-11.35 Units / -10.86% ROI).
- 36-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -3.91% ROI
- 32-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -15.73% ROI
- 41-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 7.28% ROI
Cubs vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Cubs vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cubs vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (202/413) when ahead in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 50% (432/868) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 58% (560/957) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (714/1,201) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 56% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (626/1,127) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .223 (25 Total Bases / 112 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (16-for-112) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 98th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 11 of 302 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Mets are just 22-10 (.688) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Mets are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.
The Mets are 5-29 (.147) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
The Mets are just 18-9 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .848.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cubs are just 5-172 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Cubs are just 6-91 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cubs are just 3-12 (.200) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Cubs are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .275 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .325 (10,460 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .780 (1,289 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
The Mets have won just 42% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .529 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .583.
The Cubs have won just 47% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 3.96 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 63 of 658 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 4 of 143 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have walked 873 of 8,887 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 542 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 61 of 666 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Cubs pitchers this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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