- The Mets are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Mets Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Mets TV Channel: MASN | SNY | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-145) on Monday, August 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Orioles are 73-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 60-64 ATS.
Orioles vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-11, 4.92 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 7-1, 3.06 ERA
Orioles vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -120 | +120 |
| Mets | -1.5 +145 | U 9 +100 | -145 |
Orioles vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+29.50 Units / 421% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+19.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 38 games (+36.50 Units / 96% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+17.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+9.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 116 games (+18.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+14.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 110 games (+12.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+14.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+10.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+9.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 67-58 against the Run Line (+18.3 Units / 12.67% ROI).
- 73-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.87% ROI
- 68-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +18 Units / 13.26% ROI
- 46-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.15 Units / -21.25% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 60-64 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -4.75% ROI).
- 64-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 62-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.15% ROI
- 56-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.2 Units / -8.43% ROI
Mets vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Mets vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Mets vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (88/314) against Trevor Rogers on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .478 (11-for-23) against Trevor Rogers when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .478 (11-for-23) against Trevor Rogers when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .215 — second Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of .435 (200 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 0 Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has walked 7 of 40 right-handed batters (17%) in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
David Peterson has walked 30 of 237 right-handed batters (13%) this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (59/103) against David Peterson on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 36% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed an OBP of .380 (500 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Orioles are 19-10 (.655) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 15-9 (.625) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are 57-46 (.553) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mets are just 51-6 (.895) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Mets are 6-50 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Mets are just 14-62 (.184) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Mets are just 47-11 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .790 (1,511 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Orioles hitters are slugging .421 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .263 (2,579 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .743 (8,606 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Mets hitters are slugging .626 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .559.
Mets hitters are slugging .445 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Orioles have won 46% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have won 34% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 241 of 2,521 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 64 of 593 batters (11%) this month (16 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 1,066 of 10,820 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 55 of 492 batters (11%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
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