Orioles vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Rangers are -190 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles starting pitcher:
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Baltimore Orioles (+155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-190) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Orioles vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Orioles are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 2-3 ATS.

Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -130O 7.5 -105+155
Rangers -1.5 +105U 7.5 -115-190

Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 72.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rylan Bannon has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Rougned Odor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eli White has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Brad Miller has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eli White has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Jonah Heim has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Nate Lowe 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Mitch Garver 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Robbie Grossman 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Nate Lowe 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Mitch Garver 0.5 -150 0.5 +110

Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +270 0.5 -375
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Nate Lowe 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Mitch Garver 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Grom 8.5 +115 8.5 -150
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 86 of their last 167 games (+26.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 102 of their last 167 games (+22.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 77 of their last 139 games (+10.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 85 away games (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 86 games at home (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 85 games at home (+3.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 86 games at home (+2.05 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 167 games (+1.25 Units / 1% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 4-1 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 29.45% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 30% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 52.68% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -60.55% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -6.31% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 3.08% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 14.91% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -19.81% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jacob deGrom has allowed an OBP of just .187 (603 PA’s) since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 42% (117 SO in 281 PAs) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (529/1,281) against Jacob deGrom since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom had a strikeout rate of 42% (110/264) in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Orioles are just 58-46 (.558) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Orioles are just 29-114 (.203) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Orioles are just 12-21 (.364) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 12-19 (.387) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rangers were just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are just 56-11 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rangers are just 103-16 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.

The Rangers are just 31-46 (.403) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of 1.166 (55 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Orioles hitters are slugging .729 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Orioles hitters are slugging 1.091 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .548.

The Orioles batted just .224 against LHP in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rangers are batting just .154 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.

Rangers hitters slugged just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 30 days of the regular season (33 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .925 (376 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.77 (1351.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Rangers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 6 double plays in 20 opportunities (30%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Rangers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Leg, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D15
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Face, Day-to-Day
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Foot, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
  • James McCann (Orioles): Oblique, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.