- The Phillies are -110 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Phillies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: NSPA | DBTV | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Phillies are 68-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 58-57 ATS.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Kolby Allard 0-0, 4.50 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 7-5, 6.43 ERA
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | O 9.5 -115 | -110 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | U 9.5 -105 | -110 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+16.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+11.00 Units / 122% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+10.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 18 away games (+9.80 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 21 games (+43.00 Units / 205% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+18.95 Units / 90% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+16.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+12.90 Units / 26% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 60 of their last 99 games (+18.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 97 games (+16.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 96 games (+12.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 97 games (+11.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 95 games (+6.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 59 games (+19.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 58 games (+17.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 58-56 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 0.55% ROI).
- 68-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.16% ROI
- 53-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -7.3% ROI
- 56-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -2% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 58-57 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -3.58% ROI).
- 63-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 5.11% ROI
- 63-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.55 Units / 6.7% ROI
- 49-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.05 Units / -15.96% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kolby Allard (PHI) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kolby Allard has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to July 16th, 2023 — Carlos Rodon has the longest active streak at 8.
Kolby Allard has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (20/56) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 17% — 89th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .368 (63-for-171) against Jordan Montgomery at home this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 18% (124 SO in 704 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 13th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .259 (175-for-676) against Jordan Montgomery when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 20th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has had third base stolen on him 7 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 59-9 (.868) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Phillies are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Phillies are 14-13 (.519) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .367.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are 19-14 (.576) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
The Diamondbacks are 7-41 (.146) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Diamondbacks are 14-175 (.074) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are 15-12 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .367.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .254 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .785 (3,257 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 64% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Phillies are batting .256 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .946 (482 PA’s) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .744.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .479 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 62% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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